If you ask me how I would describe Year 2009, my answer will be one word. ‘’Boring’’.
There was no shattering news or events that kept any Singaporeans on tenterhooks, to be traumatised or to pray for divine intervention. Unlike other countries, there were no demonstrations or terrorism scare or any major fatalistic accidents in workplaces. There was no tunnel, scaffolding or building structures collapse. It must be a journalist honeymoon year and delight that didn’t require them on 24/7 covering news with no sleep or shower.
Other than AWARE saga and the capture of Mas Selamat in Johore, I find it difficult to even remember a few domestics’ news. Perhaps my memory is failing as I officially joined the old man club this year.
But the first quarter of the year is best described as an economic scare arising out of the subprime crisis from America. No doubt our government has gone overdrive to provide the stimulus packages to get us out of recession. But Singaporeans rightfully have reason to be worried even though the situation was not one of despair and hopelessness. We know the government has the economic pulse at their fingers tip. Aware of the massive reserve that Singapore has, Singaporeans are primed and geared up for the ‘raining days’ resulting from this ‘passing thunderstorm and shower’. By the middle of the year, the sky was clearing up. Although not completely clear, more passing showers or drizzles are anticipated occasionally next year.
Singapore organised the APEC forum and see many world leaders ascending on our shore. It was an orderly event with no foreign NGOs demonstrating to grab world headlines. I think most of the would-be international demonstrators from NGOs have decided to give it a miss.
On the world front, Obama became the first black president of America. As time passes, he is just another American president trying to solve American recession and the world's problem. I think to date he has yet to produce any tangible result.
There rest of the world news are really nothing new. News from Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Taliban, Iran and its nuclear ambitions, North Korea and it missile tests, suicide bombings, terrorism acts help filled the pages of print medias. This will be the same news next year and years to come. None of this news has a global dimension that needs the world must act urgently.
The single most covered news for the year was the Copenhagen Climate Conference. In my opinion, it was a failure but on the positive note, at least the world largest emitters of greenhouse gasses have started talking. It was a first step.
Of course, there were so many news from Malaysia after the March 8 General Elections. We can write a book on the domestic squabbles between political parties, between different races and between different religions. And the single biggest and loudest critic is Mahathir. His tirades against his opponents and adversaries were definitely not lacking in tenacity for his age.
In Malaysia, the single most controversial, bizarre and heart breaking event was the death of Teoh Beng Hock, and political aide to an opposition MP. He died in to early hours at the premises of Malaysian Anti-Corruption Agency on the day he is to register his marriage to his pregnant fiancée. The agency and some senior government officials were quick to speculate he committed suicide. His death certainly touch the raw nerves of Malaysian from all races and walks of life. The remarks further erodes the creditability of the ruling Barisan National. Time permitting, I would love to write about Malaysia in 2009 on all the scandals, endless rumours, political infighting and all the controversies.
I hope 2010 will be a better year.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
Monday, December 28, 2009
END of 2009
ON THE ECONOMIC FRONT
It is time to say farewell to the first decade of this new millennium. The first quarter of 2009 will be best remembered for the unprecedented financial crisis that gripped and consumed us. This tumultuous meltdown from USA is so contagious and seem that no nation were immune. It almost bankrupted the world and cause unimaginable hardship unheard off especially for those like me, born after WW2. No nations had the immunity to escape this contagious economic plague. Governments around the world worked frantically to implement economic stimulus packages to avert this impending financial catastrophe. Never in the history of the world did leaders from every nations simultaneously and spontaneously pumped in enormous amount of money into the financial system. Even with all the governments working overdrive, the public were not spared the fear of unemployment as the economic is predicted to go into deep recession.
By March, most markets in the world have collapsed to 10-year low. The mood, needless to say, was one of outright doom and pessimism. Across the world, all sectors of business slumped abruptly. Trillions of dollars were wiped off the markets. Our own government too lost billions when they decided to cut loss in their portfolios. No one dare predict the future. Analysts were divided whether it was going to be L, V or U shaped recovery. Some say even double dip recession.
By June, the stock market showed signs of recovery. This was in anticipation that the worst was over and stock markets continue to recover till the end of the year. Most markets have exceeded the 12 months high. It was really unexpected that the speed of the stock market recovery was so phenomenal. For the brave, huge gains and windfalls were made. What a paradox! the midst widespread pessimism at the beginning of the year and now. Many cautious investors were left high and dry, missing the opportunity of the decade.
The sub-prime crisis was supposed to be manageable US$1 trillion debt. It was believed by many economic analysts that US alone can withstand a massive default from the debts of this housing bubble. Even the FED chairman Bernanke admitted that he did not anticipate the severity and danger of this crisis. It also certainly reinforces the interconnectivity of this globalised world. The electronic and internet age spared no one and the speed of the financial tsunami that spread throughout the world left people with very little breathing space. As US market closes, market in Asia-pacific opens, followed by Middle East and then Europe and back to US. The domino effects of the falling markets were nerve wrecking.
In this crisis, many new terms was coined. The one that capture the most attention was “too big to fail”. Citibank, AIG, and GM were rescued at enormous cost with tax payer money.
Politically, this crisis has many implications especially on USA. It may marks the end of USA domination as the world sole economic power. It has become a net debtor nation. On the contrary, China with is hefty reserve may has perched up the hierarchy of world economic powerhouse. We now see the G8 may lose it relevance to G20.
more to follow
-------------------------------------------------------------
It is time to say farewell to the first decade of this new millennium. The first quarter of 2009 will be best remembered for the unprecedented financial crisis that gripped and consumed us. This tumultuous meltdown from USA is so contagious and seem that no nation were immune. It almost bankrupted the world and cause unimaginable hardship unheard off especially for those like me, born after WW2. No nations had the immunity to escape this contagious economic plague. Governments around the world worked frantically to implement economic stimulus packages to avert this impending financial catastrophe. Never in the history of the world did leaders from every nations simultaneously and spontaneously pumped in enormous amount of money into the financial system. Even with all the governments working overdrive, the public were not spared the fear of unemployment as the economic is predicted to go into deep recession.
By March, most markets in the world have collapsed to 10-year low. The mood, needless to say, was one of outright doom and pessimism. Across the world, all sectors of business slumped abruptly. Trillions of dollars were wiped off the markets. Our own government too lost billions when they decided to cut loss in their portfolios. No one dare predict the future. Analysts were divided whether it was going to be L, V or U shaped recovery. Some say even double dip recession.
By June, the stock market showed signs of recovery. This was in anticipation that the worst was over and stock markets continue to recover till the end of the year. Most markets have exceeded the 12 months high. It was really unexpected that the speed of the stock market recovery was so phenomenal. For the brave, huge gains and windfalls were made. What a paradox! the midst widespread pessimism at the beginning of the year and now. Many cautious investors were left high and dry, missing the opportunity of the decade.
The sub-prime crisis was supposed to be manageable US$1 trillion debt. It was believed by many economic analysts that US alone can withstand a massive default from the debts of this housing bubble. Even the FED chairman Bernanke admitted that he did not anticipate the severity and danger of this crisis. It also certainly reinforces the interconnectivity of this globalised world. The electronic and internet age spared no one and the speed of the financial tsunami that spread throughout the world left people with very little breathing space. As US market closes, market in Asia-pacific opens, followed by Middle East and then Europe and back to US. The domino effects of the falling markets were nerve wrecking.
In this crisis, many new terms was coined. The one that capture the most attention was “too big to fail”. Citibank, AIG, and GM were rescued at enormous cost with tax payer money.
Politically, this crisis has many implications especially on USA. It may marks the end of USA domination as the world sole economic power. It has become a net debtor nation. On the contrary, China with is hefty reserve may has perched up the hierarchy of world economic powerhouse. We now see the G8 may lose it relevance to G20.
more to follow
-------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Copenhagen Climate Conference
While the leaders and the people of the world are fully aware if we fail to act, the world will be environmentally unsustainable for the human race. All the worry for our children’s children’s children future is nothing but rhetoric hot air if no one is prepared to take a meaningful and painful sacrifice. The west and the rich have plundered the world in the last few centuries. Now these people are standing from the moral high ground to lecture the world what need to be done to save the world. They had conveniently forgotten the environmental damage and pollution they had inflicted on the earth as they become developed countries.
These are the major contentions that are obstacle to an agreement on how to cut carbon emission. The poor and developing countries want to develop but are very concern the new rule on carbon emission demanded by the richer countries will hinder its progress. The rich countries are not prepared to provide a meaningful financial assistance. There is unhappiness that the rich and developed countries do not fully acknowledge and account for the destruction of the earth committed in the past.
The UN Copenhagen Climate Conference is supposed to address all the issues of climatic changes and to provide a framework to make the world more sustainable, and also bridging the gap between the various countries. It is an uphill battle to get consensus between the rich and the poor and among the big countries like China, India and developed countries like the USA and Europe. At the rate the talk is proceeding and the world leaders are supposed to meet in a few days time, agreement is nowhere near. Looks like it will just end with agreement for more talk!
It boils down to each countries fighting for their immediate interest. Each government need to protect its own interest as well as to guard their political interest. What the points of agreeing on climate change but lose the election. How many elected government has the political will to ask its citizen to drive smaller cars, use less air-conditioning or eat less meat. Will company willing to spend more for environmental protection and tell shareholders that they will make less profit. For the developing countries, tell its farmers not to burn waste in open, cut down trees or clear forest for agricultural plantations.
Then there are the problems of implementation on agreed emission cut on greenhouse gas. Who will monitor the compliance of the agreed emission cut? How can we trust the fund paid by rich countries did not go to wrong hands and funds are properly used for the right purposes? What if the rich countries renege on the agreement? How will countries like China and India enforce the agreement on its factories where they are unscrupulously motivated by profit rather than clean environment? Corruption in developing countries will be the greatest obstacles to monitoring compliance.
As I see it, there is just no compelling motivation and fear from the bottom up. That is, the citizens of the world are unable to see the urgency and the need to take immediate actions to save the world as it does not affect their present lifestyle. The globalise world have driven people to be materialistic. And human being by nature are selfish, will not see the urgency to do something that will not affect them in their life time. How many are so magnanimous and really care for the children’s children’s children's future! And deny themselves and their children the luxury and comfort that we work so hard to afford these.
The world will be very green if we can live with only the bare necessities. Can we?
More....
These are the major contentions that are obstacle to an agreement on how to cut carbon emission. The poor and developing countries want to develop but are very concern the new rule on carbon emission demanded by the richer countries will hinder its progress. The rich countries are not prepared to provide a meaningful financial assistance. There is unhappiness that the rich and developed countries do not fully acknowledge and account for the destruction of the earth committed in the past.
The UN Copenhagen Climate Conference is supposed to address all the issues of climatic changes and to provide a framework to make the world more sustainable, and also bridging the gap between the various countries. It is an uphill battle to get consensus between the rich and the poor and among the big countries like China, India and developed countries like the USA and Europe. At the rate the talk is proceeding and the world leaders are supposed to meet in a few days time, agreement is nowhere near. Looks like it will just end with agreement for more talk!
It boils down to each countries fighting for their immediate interest. Each government need to protect its own interest as well as to guard their political interest. What the points of agreeing on climate change but lose the election. How many elected government has the political will to ask its citizen to drive smaller cars, use less air-conditioning or eat less meat. Will company willing to spend more for environmental protection and tell shareholders that they will make less profit. For the developing countries, tell its farmers not to burn waste in open, cut down trees or clear forest for agricultural plantations.
Then there are the problems of implementation on agreed emission cut on greenhouse gas. Who will monitor the compliance of the agreed emission cut? How can we trust the fund paid by rich countries did not go to wrong hands and funds are properly used for the right purposes? What if the rich countries renege on the agreement? How will countries like China and India enforce the agreement on its factories where they are unscrupulously motivated by profit rather than clean environment? Corruption in developing countries will be the greatest obstacles to monitoring compliance.
As I see it, there is just no compelling motivation and fear from the bottom up. That is, the citizens of the world are unable to see the urgency and the need to take immediate actions to save the world as it does not affect their present lifestyle. The globalise world have driven people to be materialistic. And human being by nature are selfish, will not see the urgency to do something that will not affect them in their life time. How many are so magnanimous and really care for the children’s children’s children's future! And deny themselves and their children the luxury and comfort that we work so hard to afford these.
The world will be very green if we can live with only the bare necessities. Can we?
More....
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
TIGER 'JUST DO IT' IS CAUGHT
Tiger Woods, the sport celebrity billionaire in the world has now been the butt of jokes in talk shows, Medias and magazines since his sex romps and revelations with so many women are unceremoniously exposed. The news have been gripping around the world over the last 2 weeks. The tiger has certainly gone hiding in the woods to escape the dragnet of paparazzis and tabloid reporters. But as the skeletons started falling out of the closet, nobody will doubt that his silence will be short-lived. First it was 3 lovers, and then it grew to 10 and more. One can also speculate the horde of married women involved won’t dare come out in the open to expose their exploits. Should the public be surprise? It must be naive to be so.
When one looks at this “Gillette” man, cleaned shaven and convincingly cut a gentlemanly figure, he must have completely hoodwinked the trusting public. After all, married to an ex-model that bore him 2 children, how did he end up with this sex scandal? Well the old adage of “don’t judge the book by its cover” certainly rings true.
And the Nike man surely takes the Nike message to heart. “Just do it”. So he doubles bogie, triple bogie and then multiple bogies till he lost count. I guess he cannot remember the scores for the women he slept with. Not also to forget the many fluke ‘hole-in-one’ that laid along his way.
Many will justify that it is the perils of success, or the fame or wealth. Tiger Wood is a billionaire, young at 33 with full of energy. Fame and wealth attracts women and sex. If Tiger is just a caddie, how many women will drop their skirts for him? It is also not surprising that most of the very famous sport personalities cannot escape the same temptations and indulgences. You can ignore, hold back temptation once, twice, a few times, but surely not forever unless these men wear male chastity belts and their wives keep the keys. More so in golf, opportunities are abundant as golf players are normally out of sight for hours during practices and can be away from home for weeks on competition. This provides perfect cover and alibi for any illicit encounters.
Tiger has made a public apology for his ‘infidelity’ and announced he is indefinitely stopping playing golf. Well he has a lot to do, fix the broken hearts, the broken marriage, his broken image and prepare for more lurid tales and rumours to surface. For someone who has dominated the sport for so long in the sport world, the fall from grace must be excruciatingly humiliating. A period of self reflection and time to strategise his comeback to the sports will be good for Tiger.
Tiger’s sponsors have initiate dissociation from him by withdrawing his advertisement to stay on the moral high ground. In the short terms, this could cost Tiger hundreds of millions. But in my opinions, in the long term, if he plays well, he will find many other sponsors especially those that appeal to male machos. After all, today sport world is driven by profit and sport personalities are the engines to corporate success.
What Michael Jordan is to basketball, Federer is to Tennis and Mohd Ali is to boxing, Tiger Woods is to golf. He has raised the profile of golf, bringing in big money to television and thing associated with not only golf but a wide range of consumer products. In another word, the sport and corporate world needed him and he will be rehabilitated in quick time. If he continues to play well, the fans will forget his scandal too. He is rich enough and he is not hard up of endorsement. He may lose his family, but there will be plenty of women in the queue. Why should his personal life be any different from other celebrities? They all have multiple marriages and families!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
When one looks at this “Gillette” man, cleaned shaven and convincingly cut a gentlemanly figure, he must have completely hoodwinked the trusting public. After all, married to an ex-model that bore him 2 children, how did he end up with this sex scandal? Well the old adage of “don’t judge the book by its cover” certainly rings true.
And the Nike man surely takes the Nike message to heart. “Just do it”. So he doubles bogie, triple bogie and then multiple bogies till he lost count. I guess he cannot remember the scores for the women he slept with. Not also to forget the many fluke ‘hole-in-one’ that laid along his way.
Many will justify that it is the perils of success, or the fame or wealth. Tiger Wood is a billionaire, young at 33 with full of energy. Fame and wealth attracts women and sex. If Tiger is just a caddie, how many women will drop their skirts for him? It is also not surprising that most of the very famous sport personalities cannot escape the same temptations and indulgences. You can ignore, hold back temptation once, twice, a few times, but surely not forever unless these men wear male chastity belts and their wives keep the keys. More so in golf, opportunities are abundant as golf players are normally out of sight for hours during practices and can be away from home for weeks on competition. This provides perfect cover and alibi for any illicit encounters.
Tiger has made a public apology for his ‘infidelity’ and announced he is indefinitely stopping playing golf. Well he has a lot to do, fix the broken hearts, the broken marriage, his broken image and prepare for more lurid tales and rumours to surface. For someone who has dominated the sport for so long in the sport world, the fall from grace must be excruciatingly humiliating. A period of self reflection and time to strategise his comeback to the sports will be good for Tiger.
Tiger’s sponsors have initiate dissociation from him by withdrawing his advertisement to stay on the moral high ground. In the short terms, this could cost Tiger hundreds of millions. But in my opinions, in the long term, if he plays well, he will find many other sponsors especially those that appeal to male machos. After all, today sport world is driven by profit and sport personalities are the engines to corporate success.
What Michael Jordan is to basketball, Federer is to Tennis and Mohd Ali is to boxing, Tiger Woods is to golf. He has raised the profile of golf, bringing in big money to television and thing associated with not only golf but a wide range of consumer products. In another word, the sport and corporate world needed him and he will be rehabilitated in quick time. If he continues to play well, the fans will forget his scandal too. He is rich enough and he is not hard up of endorsement. He may lose his family, but there will be plenty of women in the queue. Why should his personal life be any different from other celebrities? They all have multiple marriages and families!
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
DUBAI THROUGH MY EYES
During the late 70s and 80s, I visited Dubai quite regularly. Like any cities in Asia, there were some new high rise buildings amidst plenty of low rise shop houses on the ground floor and offices on the higher level. On the roads, traffic was noisy with cars honking relentlessly. The air was filled with vehicles exhaust and when the wind blew, dust and sand swirls into the air. There were no paved pedestrian walk; neither were there any green such as trees or grass. The place was generally dirty. Each trip after I return to the hotel, I had to wipe out the sand from my shoes. Summer was burning hot and shops closed in the afternoon after 2pm. I love the local food especially the chicken tikkas and the curry Marsala.
Then in the 90s, Dubai started the greening process with parks created and trees planted. Pedestrian walkways were constructed and the building boom also started. By the end of the millennium, Dubai was set on a transformation at a pace nobody had envisaged. The roads, airport, buildings and shopping malls have completely transformed Dubai into a cosmopolitan city that match the most modern city in the world.
One has to ask, how a desert town become a modern city in just over a few decades. First reason is the unlimited amount of money from the oil revenues from around the region. The second is the sheer ambition of the sheikh of Dubai to build Dubai into a super city, financial and commercial centre that can match London and New York. The third is the success of earlier investments which attract more investments. Fourthly, abundant cheap labour also contributed to Dubai success.
In the last 10 years, Dubai has been on a great acquisitions trail around the world. It snapped up ports, hotels, properties, banks and very big companies with the sheer power of money. It started building mega projects in Dubai. To do all this, Dubai borrowed a lot of money without any problem because creditors believe the loans have the backing of the sovereign government. In all about 90 Billion were borrowed for all these mega projects.
Like any economic cycles, the boom must be followed by the bust. The world financial crisis was the catalyst to this property bust in Dubai. In spite of the deep pocket of the Dubai government and the other emirates, Dubai was to be no exception. Though in my opinion, Dubai is not going to default. My feel is that Abu Dhabi is patiently waiting by the sidelines to scoop up the distress assets at a cheap price. After all, of the 7 emirates that formed UAE, Dubai has no natural resources. What it has is ‘other people’ money and has acted as if it is the richest emirate. The richest of all is Abu Dhabi with is oil wealth.
to be continue
==================
Then in the 90s, Dubai started the greening process with parks created and trees planted. Pedestrian walkways were constructed and the building boom also started. By the end of the millennium, Dubai was set on a transformation at a pace nobody had envisaged. The roads, airport, buildings and shopping malls have completely transformed Dubai into a cosmopolitan city that match the most modern city in the world.
One has to ask, how a desert town become a modern city in just over a few decades. First reason is the unlimited amount of money from the oil revenues from around the region. The second is the sheer ambition of the sheikh of Dubai to build Dubai into a super city, financial and commercial centre that can match London and New York. The third is the success of earlier investments which attract more investments. Fourthly, abundant cheap labour also contributed to Dubai success.
In the last 10 years, Dubai has been on a great acquisitions trail around the world. It snapped up ports, hotels, properties, banks and very big companies with the sheer power of money. It started building mega projects in Dubai. To do all this, Dubai borrowed a lot of money without any problem because creditors believe the loans have the backing of the sovereign government. In all about 90 Billion were borrowed for all these mega projects.
Like any economic cycles, the boom must be followed by the bust. The world financial crisis was the catalyst to this property bust in Dubai. In spite of the deep pocket of the Dubai government and the other emirates, Dubai was to be no exception. Though in my opinion, Dubai is not going to default. My feel is that Abu Dhabi is patiently waiting by the sidelines to scoop up the distress assets at a cheap price. After all, of the 7 emirates that formed UAE, Dubai has no natural resources. What it has is ‘other people’ money and has acted as if it is the richest emirate. The richest of all is Abu Dhabi with is oil wealth.
to be continue
==================
Sunday, August 16, 2009
NATIONAL DAY RALLY
I was born before Majullah Singapura and the Negara-Ku national songs. Yet I have to profess that as a child, I never heard or knew about the song “God Save the Queen”. Growing up I never really bothered about my nationality. My parents never spoke about national issues or world current affairs. What bothered them was remained employed so there was food on the table and all the children get education. My parents having lived through turmoil and hardship, had resigned to fate and destiny and simply prayed for the best.
Yet I am more fortunate. I had a decent education. Singapore prospered despite its limited resources. Singaporean in general has great job opportunities and I am fortunate enough to land a good job. Although I am politically inactive and apathetic, I nevertheless keep myself abreast of world events and always watch keenly on government policies. For this reason, I have never failed to follow the annual National Day Rally since LKY started it.
The National Day Rally annually was similar to the State of Union address in USA. Over the years, it has been institutionalised in Singapore and future leaders will be expected to follow this tradition, national day speech. For the PM, it is a report card on his performance. Of course, needless to say, the PM takes this opportunity for some self congratulations. More importantly, it is a platform for the PM to rally Singaporeans to stay united to face the challenges ahead. And the same time to shares and explain the domestic issues and policies the government had adopted or intended to introduce.
This year rally was no different from the past. We all know we are in an unprecedented economic crisis and are just seeing sign of economic recovery. Rightly, he did not hype on the pains and turmoils which the public has enough of this over the last 12 months. Instead the focus was on religious harmony and a reminder how fragile this could be. Basically, it is a reminder to religious groups not to be too fervent and impose their values on others. Of course the AWARE saga was briefly mentioned. Overall there are no new issue discuss. I guess there is not much good thing to boast too. Also he does not wish to add more negative news to the already weak sentiment.
This rally was more like an election rally. The last 30 minutes was spent on the progress Singapore has made over the last 50 years. Photographs and short videos were cleverly used to score the points on how the government has developed Singapore into a world class city unimaginable 50 years ago.
My guess is election is coming soon.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Yet I am more fortunate. I had a decent education. Singapore prospered despite its limited resources. Singaporean in general has great job opportunities and I am fortunate enough to land a good job. Although I am politically inactive and apathetic, I nevertheless keep myself abreast of world events and always watch keenly on government policies. For this reason, I have never failed to follow the annual National Day Rally since LKY started it.
The National Day Rally annually was similar to the State of Union address in USA. Over the years, it has been institutionalised in Singapore and future leaders will be expected to follow this tradition, national day speech. For the PM, it is a report card on his performance. Of course, needless to say, the PM takes this opportunity for some self congratulations. More importantly, it is a platform for the PM to rally Singaporeans to stay united to face the challenges ahead. And the same time to shares and explain the domestic issues and policies the government had adopted or intended to introduce.
This year rally was no different from the past. We all know we are in an unprecedented economic crisis and are just seeing sign of economic recovery. Rightly, he did not hype on the pains and turmoils which the public has enough of this over the last 12 months. Instead the focus was on religious harmony and a reminder how fragile this could be. Basically, it is a reminder to religious groups not to be too fervent and impose their values on others. Of course the AWARE saga was briefly mentioned. Overall there are no new issue discuss. I guess there is not much good thing to boast too. Also he does not wish to add more negative news to the already weak sentiment.
This rally was more like an election rally. The last 30 minutes was spent on the progress Singapore has made over the last 50 years. Photographs and short videos were cleverly used to score the points on how the government has developed Singapore into a world class city unimaginable 50 years ago.
My guess is election is coming soon.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, July 11, 2009
UIGHURS, THE PERILS OF MINORITY
Uighurs, Tibetan, Tamil, the minorities
The eruption of ethnic violence in China’s Xinjiang between the indigenous Uighur and the migrant Han Chinese has shocked the world and the Chinese government. This come less then 18 months after the Tibetan riots against the Han Chinese in Tibet. Although the suddenness and severity of the violence caught many off guard, but the riots was anticipated as ethnic resentment has been brewing for a long time.
Few months ago, the Tamil Tigers, a minority in Sri Lanka had been soundly annihilated by the far more superior Sri Lanka Singhalese Army. It has waged guerrilla warfare for almost 30 years to establish an independent homeland for the minority Tamil. The defeat of the Tamil Tigers was a human tragedy, spark off a humanitarian crisis and suffering which could have been avoided had the Tamil leaders acted with more pragmatism and realism.
The sufferings and despondency from all these minorities are all too familiar. Minorities are far too often at the end of the economic scale. Resentment over loss of land, job opportunity and discrimination, and lack of religious freedom are the ingredient that causes the resentment to boiling point. Sadly, the dejected minority, out of frustration always acted with impunity, which is irrational, fail to comprehend the consequences of racial violence. They fail to understand that killing innocent lives and destroying properties can never address their grievances or force a solution. Racial riots can only aggravate and bring more suffering to themselves. Economical hardship will exacerbate due to fear from reduced human activities. Further it will increased hatred and mistrust from the majority.
Sadly, the fact of life is that the subjugated will always be discriminated. It cannot expect to be given special favours. To succeed, the minority must endeavour to immerse with the local, learn its language, immerse in its culture and work harder than the local. It cannot cling on to its culture and expect the majority to accept and embrace them. One race that exemplifies this struggle to succeed is the Chinese in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. It is also about making sacrifices to some basic tenet of life like freedom of religion, language and politics.
Even in the animal world, the weakest has the last bite of the leftover crumps. Yet the weakest need not die of hunger. The key to survival for minorities is pragmatism, adapt and to accept. Violence is sure suicidal as we have seen how the Tamil Tigers perished in Sri Lanka. Likewise rioting and violence in Tibet and Xinjiang is not going to improve the well being of Tibetans and Uighurs. And if one chooses to be static and cling on to its culture, it has to accept the trade-off for the loss of opportunities and not blame others for discrimination. Sadly many civilisations today refuse to acknowledge that change to human life must be embrace for survival. Nothing last forever, old house must crumble and new house need to be built. The globalise world wait for no one.
Understanding history, Conqueror and the Conquered
Since time immemorial, wars among civilisations for survival appeared to be the only solution to solve dispute. One tribe eliminating the other or outright domination of another seem to be a constant human factor. And within civilisation, social structure and status is evolves and the strongest prevails. Pecking orders like the caste systems among Hindu believers is a way that enables mankind to manage itself; otherwise, it is sheer brute force that determines leadership. In these societies, man accepts his place in the hierarchy. Slavery, practiced by the European and American not too long ago, is another form of human organisation which bequeath the powerful to manage the conquered.
Of course with education, mankind had made tremendous social progress. In more democratic regimes, mankind now enjoy rights unheard of by his ancestor. But no matter how much progress has been made, racial prejudice and discrimination can never be totally eradicated. Every country wants to be powerful to have the influence to dominate for economic or cultural advantages. Power does always germinate from a single race, embracing a similar religion and culture. It cannot be denied that somehow our brains are hardwired to favour our own colour, race or religion. Loyalty to our own kind is part of human survival mode. We protect our own kind and zealously guard our own culture and interest no matter what. These human traits cannot be ignored.
If we are to view history, from Europe to Asia, in the early day, it is about conquering one race, destroyed it or enslaved it. The conqueror took his prize, everything that can be seized from land to the vanquished as slave and wife. In America, the white Europeans came, possessed the land and nearly wipe off the Indian. In Australia, the white man too droved the aborigines deeper inland and occupies the most valuable land. Likewise, the Maori gave up its land for peace in New Zealand.
In the last few centuries, the European came to Asia and colonised vast part of Asia with its mighty firepower. Local indigenous has no means to defend themselves, was force to accept colonial rule, in exchange, to avoid unimaginable bloodshed. Imagine, a few thousand Englishman were able to rule the entire India subcontinent. Just like a few gunboats were able to subjugate the Chinese to hand over Hong Kong to England. Of course many South East Asian countries conveniently submitted, signed peace treaties to hand over control to the European for survival. Likewise, Tibet and Xinjiang come to China’s ambit under the same circumstances.
----------------------------------living to see the world----------------------------------
The eruption of ethnic violence in China’s Xinjiang between the indigenous Uighur and the migrant Han Chinese has shocked the world and the Chinese government. This come less then 18 months after the Tibetan riots against the Han Chinese in Tibet. Although the suddenness and severity of the violence caught many off guard, but the riots was anticipated as ethnic resentment has been brewing for a long time.
Few months ago, the Tamil Tigers, a minority in Sri Lanka had been soundly annihilated by the far more superior Sri Lanka Singhalese Army. It has waged guerrilla warfare for almost 30 years to establish an independent homeland for the minority Tamil. The defeat of the Tamil Tigers was a human tragedy, spark off a humanitarian crisis and suffering which could have been avoided had the Tamil leaders acted with more pragmatism and realism.
The sufferings and despondency from all these minorities are all too familiar. Minorities are far too often at the end of the economic scale. Resentment over loss of land, job opportunity and discrimination, and lack of religious freedom are the ingredient that causes the resentment to boiling point. Sadly, the dejected minority, out of frustration always acted with impunity, which is irrational, fail to comprehend the consequences of racial violence. They fail to understand that killing innocent lives and destroying properties can never address their grievances or force a solution. Racial riots can only aggravate and bring more suffering to themselves. Economical hardship will exacerbate due to fear from reduced human activities. Further it will increased hatred and mistrust from the majority.
Sadly, the fact of life is that the subjugated will always be discriminated. It cannot expect to be given special favours. To succeed, the minority must endeavour to immerse with the local, learn its language, immerse in its culture and work harder than the local. It cannot cling on to its culture and expect the majority to accept and embrace them. One race that exemplifies this struggle to succeed is the Chinese in Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand. It is also about making sacrifices to some basic tenet of life like freedom of religion, language and politics.
Even in the animal world, the weakest has the last bite of the leftover crumps. Yet the weakest need not die of hunger. The key to survival for minorities is pragmatism, adapt and to accept. Violence is sure suicidal as we have seen how the Tamil Tigers perished in Sri Lanka. Likewise rioting and violence in Tibet and Xinjiang is not going to improve the well being of Tibetans and Uighurs. And if one chooses to be static and cling on to its culture, it has to accept the trade-off for the loss of opportunities and not blame others for discrimination. Sadly many civilisations today refuse to acknowledge that change to human life must be embrace for survival. Nothing last forever, old house must crumble and new house need to be built. The globalise world wait for no one.
Understanding history, Conqueror and the Conquered
Since time immemorial, wars among civilisations for survival appeared to be the only solution to solve dispute. One tribe eliminating the other or outright domination of another seem to be a constant human factor. And within civilisation, social structure and status is evolves and the strongest prevails. Pecking orders like the caste systems among Hindu believers is a way that enables mankind to manage itself; otherwise, it is sheer brute force that determines leadership. In these societies, man accepts his place in the hierarchy. Slavery, practiced by the European and American not too long ago, is another form of human organisation which bequeath the powerful to manage the conquered.
Of course with education, mankind had made tremendous social progress. In more democratic regimes, mankind now enjoy rights unheard of by his ancestor. But no matter how much progress has been made, racial prejudice and discrimination can never be totally eradicated. Every country wants to be powerful to have the influence to dominate for economic or cultural advantages. Power does always germinate from a single race, embracing a similar religion and culture. It cannot be denied that somehow our brains are hardwired to favour our own colour, race or religion. Loyalty to our own kind is part of human survival mode. We protect our own kind and zealously guard our own culture and interest no matter what. These human traits cannot be ignored.
If we are to view history, from Europe to Asia, in the early day, it is about conquering one race, destroyed it or enslaved it. The conqueror took his prize, everything that can be seized from land to the vanquished as slave and wife. In America, the white Europeans came, possessed the land and nearly wipe off the Indian. In Australia, the white man too droved the aborigines deeper inland and occupies the most valuable land. Likewise, the Maori gave up its land for peace in New Zealand.
In the last few centuries, the European came to Asia and colonised vast part of Asia with its mighty firepower. Local indigenous has no means to defend themselves, was force to accept colonial rule, in exchange, to avoid unimaginable bloodshed. Imagine, a few thousand Englishman were able to rule the entire India subcontinent. Just like a few gunboats were able to subjugate the Chinese to hand over Hong Kong to England. Of course many South East Asian countries conveniently submitted, signed peace treaties to hand over control to the European for survival. Likewise, Tibet and Xinjiang come to China’s ambit under the same circumstances.
----------------------------------living to see the world----------------------------------
Saturday, June 27, 2009
MAHATHIR CROOKED BRIDGE, IT’S A CONSPIRACY
Have you ever wonder why Mahathir is so obsessed with building a bridge to Singapore. Why is he so furious when his successor dropped the project? And why is he pursuing this subject again through his latest blog? I had thought this crooked bridge is permanently sunk when Najib took over as new prime minister. I was wrong. Look like Mahathir is attempting to raise it from the depth, thus putting intense pressure on Najib handling of bilateral relationship with Singapore. Mahathir has written in his blog yesterday regarding the reasons why the Causeway should be demolished in the Malaysian side to make way for his ‘scenic bridge’. Singapore does not agree to a new bridge unless there is a ‘balance of interest’.
Mahathir was very upset and gone berserk when Badawi abandoned the crooked bridge project. He blamed Badawi for not honouring his promise to continue his pet project. Mahathir even cajoled his successor that if he builds the crooked bridge, he will stop criticising Badawi. Badawi ignored his warning, and Mahathir went on to discredit his handpicked successor and led a dirty campaign to force Badawi resignation. Badawi eventually resigned. Whether it was the work of Mahathir, no one can verify.
Why is Mahathir so bent on building this crooked bridge? He justifies the benefits with better traffic flows and cleaner environment. But his most vocal pitch is sovereignty, and even suggests that Malaysia is not independent if they need Singapore agreement to build the bridge. That is an emotional appeal to the public on nationalism. The use of sovereign right is a shrewd move by Mahathir to pressurise politicians not to disagree with him on the building of this crooked bridge.
I have follow this straight to crooked bridge saga for a long time. I like to share my conspiracy theory. This is totally my personal view and my concoction. It is NOT substantiated in anyway.
My theory is based on the following observations.
1. Mahathir deep repugnance and outright contempt for Singapore and LKY.
2. His blinding obsession to construct this bridge, even after he has left office.
3. His undying and relentlss effort to pressure Badawi and Najib to build this bridge.
4. His impatience and implusiveness to get the crooked bridge built even without any agreement from Singapore
5. Mahathir even declared that Malaysia will foot the entire bill for the bridge. How could he be so generous?
6. Demolish the Causeway
All these are the telltale signs of Mahathir sinister plot. Mahathir hatred for Singapore is well documented. He has the penchant to be vindictive and has trampled over all his political foes unscathed. This is his last change to put the dagger in the lion heart which has constantly outperformed and outshined him. In his 22 years as PM for Malaysia, he has failed to make Singapore subservient to him. He was never able to squeeze any concession out of Singapore as many negotiations fails to meet his expectation. The score card on his dealing with Singapore is miserable. The crooked bridge is his last chance to settle this score. Unfortunately, he cannot articulate this ulterior motive in public.
He was so impatient that he unilaterally started the bridge project without any agreement from Singapore. Surely, he must be aware that any bridge must have an end point in Singapore and Singapore must provide that beach. When Singapore opposed it, he took the option to build a half bridge. In order for the half bridge to have height and acceptable gradient for vehicles, a crooked bridge is designed. He may have even anticipated Singapore objection. Can you not see his desperation in getting this bridge built?
At the same time, the Singapore government is calmly acting ignorant as not to fall into his trap. So it is not about sands or some other issues in the ‘’balance of interest” negotiation. It not about cost or economic either. Singapore government is just delaying the inevitable. The bridge will be built someday but not now. WHY?
It’s all about water. Yes water.
The pipes that carry raw water from Malaysia to Singapore lay over the Causeway. Malaysia sells raw water to Singapore at a meagre price of 3 sens per 1000 gallons. It then sells back treated water at 50 sens per 1000 gallons. The treated water is sold to Johorean at a hefty profit. Now Johore has its own water treatment plant and is capable of meeting is own needs and does not need to repurchase water from Singapore. It’s no more mutual dependent.
The water infrastructure in Johore are all built and maintained by Singapore. If and when the causeway is demolished, so does the pipes that carry water to Singapore. It will be naive to expect Malaysia to the lay new pipes under the sea or lay pipes on the crooked bridge to supply raw water to Singapore at 3 sens. Cost wise, it cannot be justified. Commonsense dictates that Singapore will have to foot the bill. But the toughest questions is, where to lay the pipes from the halfway mark of the causeway through the Straits of Johore. Haha, we now need permission from Malaysia to lay new pipes both under the sea and over land. This is where Mahathir creates a situation where Malaysia will have the upper hand. Malaysia can declined approval giving any excuse available like environment etc.
Another serious problem is the interim period when the causeway is demolished, where will the water come from. That is Mahathir idea of a grand “checkmate”. He will be the greatest champion of a Malay nationalism, forcing Singapore to her knees to accept terms dictated by Malaysia while we are ‘checkmate’. Surely, Malaysia has plentiful of water to supply to Singapore, but it will be price dictated by the Malaysian. Of course he can’t present his plan now as he will look despicable and mean. If this plan succeed, he can proudly claim his greatest prize.
Singapore has to play the ignorant games now as not to give away its uneasiness. We can buy sand anywhere like we did in the last few years. But for water, we are not truly self sufficient yet, 40% of our water needs come from Malaysia. For that, we need the Causeway to be there as long as possible. If and when Singapore announced another desalination plant, you can understand why.
Mahathir blog on this crooked bridge is to restart his sinister campaign. He is putting pressure on Najib. He is making Najib looks unpatriotic and stupid if Najib dare not build this bridge with his idea of sovereignty. Mahathir shrewdness is unparalleled. He used Badawi as his dagger but Badawi threw it away. Now he passes the dagger to Najib. Singapore has to plan for contingency if Najib does succumb to Mahathir pressure. Surely our politicians have all options available but it is something I would be very uncomfortable to put it on my blog.
----------------------------------------Living to see the world----------------------------------
Mahathir was very upset and gone berserk when Badawi abandoned the crooked bridge project. He blamed Badawi for not honouring his promise to continue his pet project. Mahathir even cajoled his successor that if he builds the crooked bridge, he will stop criticising Badawi. Badawi ignored his warning, and Mahathir went on to discredit his handpicked successor and led a dirty campaign to force Badawi resignation. Badawi eventually resigned. Whether it was the work of Mahathir, no one can verify.
Why is Mahathir so bent on building this crooked bridge? He justifies the benefits with better traffic flows and cleaner environment. But his most vocal pitch is sovereignty, and even suggests that Malaysia is not independent if they need Singapore agreement to build the bridge. That is an emotional appeal to the public on nationalism. The use of sovereign right is a shrewd move by Mahathir to pressurise politicians not to disagree with him on the building of this crooked bridge.
I have follow this straight to crooked bridge saga for a long time. I like to share my conspiracy theory. This is totally my personal view and my concoction. It is NOT substantiated in anyway.
My theory is based on the following observations.
1. Mahathir deep repugnance and outright contempt for Singapore and LKY.
2. His blinding obsession to construct this bridge, even after he has left office.
3. His undying and relentlss effort to pressure Badawi and Najib to build this bridge.
4. His impatience and implusiveness to get the crooked bridge built even without any agreement from Singapore
5. Mahathir even declared that Malaysia will foot the entire bill for the bridge. How could he be so generous?
6. Demolish the Causeway
All these are the telltale signs of Mahathir sinister plot. Mahathir hatred for Singapore is well documented. He has the penchant to be vindictive and has trampled over all his political foes unscathed. This is his last change to put the dagger in the lion heart which has constantly outperformed and outshined him. In his 22 years as PM for Malaysia, he has failed to make Singapore subservient to him. He was never able to squeeze any concession out of Singapore as many negotiations fails to meet his expectation. The score card on his dealing with Singapore is miserable. The crooked bridge is his last chance to settle this score. Unfortunately, he cannot articulate this ulterior motive in public.
He was so impatient that he unilaterally started the bridge project without any agreement from Singapore. Surely, he must be aware that any bridge must have an end point in Singapore and Singapore must provide that beach. When Singapore opposed it, he took the option to build a half bridge. In order for the half bridge to have height and acceptable gradient for vehicles, a crooked bridge is designed. He may have even anticipated Singapore objection. Can you not see his desperation in getting this bridge built?
At the same time, the Singapore government is calmly acting ignorant as not to fall into his trap. So it is not about sands or some other issues in the ‘’balance of interest” negotiation. It not about cost or economic either. Singapore government is just delaying the inevitable. The bridge will be built someday but not now. WHY?
It’s all about water. Yes water.
The pipes that carry raw water from Malaysia to Singapore lay over the Causeway. Malaysia sells raw water to Singapore at a meagre price of 3 sens per 1000 gallons. It then sells back treated water at 50 sens per 1000 gallons. The treated water is sold to Johorean at a hefty profit. Now Johore has its own water treatment plant and is capable of meeting is own needs and does not need to repurchase water from Singapore. It’s no more mutual dependent.
The water infrastructure in Johore are all built and maintained by Singapore. If and when the causeway is demolished, so does the pipes that carry water to Singapore. It will be naive to expect Malaysia to the lay new pipes under the sea or lay pipes on the crooked bridge to supply raw water to Singapore at 3 sens. Cost wise, it cannot be justified. Commonsense dictates that Singapore will have to foot the bill. But the toughest questions is, where to lay the pipes from the halfway mark of the causeway through the Straits of Johore. Haha, we now need permission from Malaysia to lay new pipes both under the sea and over land. This is where Mahathir creates a situation where Malaysia will have the upper hand. Malaysia can declined approval giving any excuse available like environment etc.
Another serious problem is the interim period when the causeway is demolished, where will the water come from. That is Mahathir idea of a grand “checkmate”. He will be the greatest champion of a Malay nationalism, forcing Singapore to her knees to accept terms dictated by Malaysia while we are ‘checkmate’. Surely, Malaysia has plentiful of water to supply to Singapore, but it will be price dictated by the Malaysian. Of course he can’t present his plan now as he will look despicable and mean. If this plan succeed, he can proudly claim his greatest prize.
Singapore has to play the ignorant games now as not to give away its uneasiness. We can buy sand anywhere like we did in the last few years. But for water, we are not truly self sufficient yet, 40% of our water needs come from Malaysia. For that, we need the Causeway to be there as long as possible. If and when Singapore announced another desalination plant, you can understand why.
Mahathir blog on this crooked bridge is to restart his sinister campaign. He is putting pressure on Najib. He is making Najib looks unpatriotic and stupid if Najib dare not build this bridge with his idea of sovereignty. Mahathir shrewdness is unparalleled. He used Badawi as his dagger but Badawi threw it away. Now he passes the dagger to Najib. Singapore has to plan for contingency if Najib does succumb to Mahathir pressure. Surely our politicians have all options available but it is something I would be very uncomfortable to put it on my blog.
----------------------------------------Living to see the world----------------------------------
Wednesday, June 17, 2009
SORRY LKY, TA BOLEH
NOT READY TO BETTER TIES
LKY recent visit to Malaysia highlighted the deep rooted mistrust and hatred for LKY and anything Singapore. The greatest anti-Singapore lobby is none other than Dr M and his die hard UMNO and Malay supporters. There is just no way Najib and the present leadership can improve bilateral relation to the next level unless this “anything but Singapore” resentment is tackled. If no Malaysian Malay politician possesses the political courage to take this issue by the horn, then Singapore will continue to be demonised by opportunistic and nationalistic politicians, hampering any chances for mutual cooperation and improved ties. They negative perception is so deeply entrenched in the psyche of an average Malay, propagated over decades by the Utusan Melaya and even NST. To untangle this psyche now has becomes extremely difficult. This bad blood needs more than a portent dosage, it needs to be ‘exorcised’ and better still ‘stoned to death’.
MAHATHIR FACTOR
The crux of the anti-Singapore problem is historical. It started with Singapore joining the Malaysia Federation and was kicked out after 2 years and Singapore become independent by accident. Malaysia had adopted an affirmative policy that favours the ethnic Malays and Singapore has adopted meritocracy. Although the Malays are favoured in education and working opportunities, somehow, subconsciously, it works against the psyche of the Malays leadership. Socially and politically, it is a great scheme, but nationally, the interest of the nation is compromised in its ability to compete and advance.
So Mahathir planned grandiose mega-projects to showcase this development but everyone knows that the human software, the people, betrays the hardware displayed. In contrast, Singapore with is limited resources, governs on the principle of meritocracy, has consistently wins worldwide respect and accolades and outshines its northerly neighbour. For that, no matter how much Mahathir do for Malaysia, he knows he is constantly living in the shadow of LKY. He has to ‘tekan’ or get back at Singapore by making thing difficult. This enhanced his image to his countrymen and view him as superior leader to LKY. So as long as Mahathir is alive, he will ensure these anti-Singapore tirades and diatribes continue. That may explain the legendary enmity between these two old guards.
To put salt into the wound, LKY snubbed him by not calling on him but met up with old friends like Badawi when he visited Malaysia last week. To aggravate him further, LKY also met up with, and warmly received by Sultans and opposition leaders that have very scant respect for Mahathir. Surely he must be furiously mad, which in his blog, makes no effort to conceal his disgust and deep hatred by belittling LKY as the “little emperor” of Modern Middle Kingdom.
UMNO FACTOR
1. Malaysia race-based politics
UMNO is an ethnic based party and strive on its platform as the defender of and protector of Malays’ rights since its inception. It places racial interest above national interest. Currently, the only justifiable reason for its relevance and existence is in its ability to serve the Malay’s interest. In stark contrast to UMNO, Singapore meritocratic principle is on the opposite pole where no race is favoured and Singapore has excelled and continues to brain drained talents from Malaysia.
2. Meritocracy verses affirmative action
This meritocratic principle has very strong appeal from the non-Malays and Singapore leaders are quietly admired over the causeway. UMNO has always feel threatened by Singapore meritocratic policy. There must be some latent fear that the non-bumiputras will use Singapore as an example to push for reforms. Some UMNO members are honestly supporting this affirmative policy as a means to improve the welfare and development of the Malays. However, it is well known that many UMNO members benefited financially from tenders and projects reserved for the bumiputras. There are therefore quarters that will steadfastly protect their financial interest in the name of welfare. Some well educated, successful urban Malays are finding their affirmative action embarrassing as it denies them proper recognition for their success due to prejudice and negative perception.
3. Marginalisation of Singapore Malays
For this reason, UMNO and anti-Singapore quarters had always pick the ‘Marginalisation' story of Malays in Singapore to reiterate to the Malays in Malaysia why they are better off. Such rhetoric has worked and will continue to be used. Together with the government controlled media under Mahathir regime, Singapore leaders has been demonised as anti-Malays. Over the decades of propaganda, with enough mud was thrown, some are bound to stick. So in the mindsets of most Malays in Malaysia, Singapore is anti-Malays out to take advantage of them and must never be trusted. Singapore bashing and anti-Singapore tirades over the decades have become fashionable and thus, it will be embarrassing for the new PM to embrace Singapore and cooperate with this neighbour. To this end, UMNO politicians have basically ‘snookered’ themselves.
4. Singapore Bashing
There are no shortage of opportunistic politicians to do Singapore ‘bashing’. It is an art perpetuated by Mahathir and is politically cost free. This time, Khairy, UMNO Youth's President is real quick to jump on the bandwagon to exploit this issue of selling sand to Singapore. Traditionally, Youth president is accorded a ministerial post. Khairy is left out of the cabinet and well, he need to be heard and not be forgotten. Soon many more dormant politicians will be beating the same drum.
MEANINGFUL RELATIONSHIP, NO WAY
So in my conclusion, we are way off the mark for any new beginning with Malaysia. Good bilateral and mature relationship is still beyond the horizon. The underlying mistrust and fear of Singapore dominating the Malays has been so deeply ingrained in the mindset of ordinary Malays. The Singapore threat was meant to be a scare as well as a slogan to unite UMNO, but over the years, it has becomes self fulfil prophesy, many now actually believe the threat is real. Under this circumstance, it will take many more decades to eradicate the mistrust. Of course, there will be selective cooperation when the need arises. In the foreseeable future, give and take will be out of the equation.
BALL IN MALAYSIA COURT
Well the ball is now in Najib hand. Does he have the clout to silence all the anti-Singapore critics, only time will tell. He may decide to take the safer path like his predecessor to maintain status quo and not to rock this rickety boat. Or he may take the bull by the horn and once and for all, shown all Malaysians his is Boss. That is, if he dares to take on his ex-boss.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LKY recent visit to Malaysia highlighted the deep rooted mistrust and hatred for LKY and anything Singapore. The greatest anti-Singapore lobby is none other than Dr M and his die hard UMNO and Malay supporters. There is just no way Najib and the present leadership can improve bilateral relation to the next level unless this “anything but Singapore” resentment is tackled. If no Malaysian Malay politician possesses the political courage to take this issue by the horn, then Singapore will continue to be demonised by opportunistic and nationalistic politicians, hampering any chances for mutual cooperation and improved ties. They negative perception is so deeply entrenched in the psyche of an average Malay, propagated over decades by the Utusan Melaya and even NST. To untangle this psyche now has becomes extremely difficult. This bad blood needs more than a portent dosage, it needs to be ‘exorcised’ and better still ‘stoned to death’.
MAHATHIR FACTOR
The crux of the anti-Singapore problem is historical. It started with Singapore joining the Malaysia Federation and was kicked out after 2 years and Singapore become independent by accident. Malaysia had adopted an affirmative policy that favours the ethnic Malays and Singapore has adopted meritocracy. Although the Malays are favoured in education and working opportunities, somehow, subconsciously, it works against the psyche of the Malays leadership. Socially and politically, it is a great scheme, but nationally, the interest of the nation is compromised in its ability to compete and advance.
So Mahathir planned grandiose mega-projects to showcase this development but everyone knows that the human software, the people, betrays the hardware displayed. In contrast, Singapore with is limited resources, governs on the principle of meritocracy, has consistently wins worldwide respect and accolades and outshines its northerly neighbour. For that, no matter how much Mahathir do for Malaysia, he knows he is constantly living in the shadow of LKY. He has to ‘tekan’ or get back at Singapore by making thing difficult. This enhanced his image to his countrymen and view him as superior leader to LKY. So as long as Mahathir is alive, he will ensure these anti-Singapore tirades and diatribes continue. That may explain the legendary enmity between these two old guards.
To put salt into the wound, LKY snubbed him by not calling on him but met up with old friends like Badawi when he visited Malaysia last week. To aggravate him further, LKY also met up with, and warmly received by Sultans and opposition leaders that have very scant respect for Mahathir. Surely he must be furiously mad, which in his blog, makes no effort to conceal his disgust and deep hatred by belittling LKY as the “little emperor” of Modern Middle Kingdom.
UMNO FACTOR
1. Malaysia race-based politics
UMNO is an ethnic based party and strive on its platform as the defender of and protector of Malays’ rights since its inception. It places racial interest above national interest. Currently, the only justifiable reason for its relevance and existence is in its ability to serve the Malay’s interest. In stark contrast to UMNO, Singapore meritocratic principle is on the opposite pole where no race is favoured and Singapore has excelled and continues to brain drained talents from Malaysia.
2. Meritocracy verses affirmative action
This meritocratic principle has very strong appeal from the non-Malays and Singapore leaders are quietly admired over the causeway. UMNO has always feel threatened by Singapore meritocratic policy. There must be some latent fear that the non-bumiputras will use Singapore as an example to push for reforms. Some UMNO members are honestly supporting this affirmative policy as a means to improve the welfare and development of the Malays. However, it is well known that many UMNO members benefited financially from tenders and projects reserved for the bumiputras. There are therefore quarters that will steadfastly protect their financial interest in the name of welfare. Some well educated, successful urban Malays are finding their affirmative action embarrassing as it denies them proper recognition for their success due to prejudice and negative perception.
3. Marginalisation of Singapore Malays
For this reason, UMNO and anti-Singapore quarters had always pick the ‘Marginalisation' story of Malays in Singapore to reiterate to the Malays in Malaysia why they are better off. Such rhetoric has worked and will continue to be used. Together with the government controlled media under Mahathir regime, Singapore leaders has been demonised as anti-Malays. Over the decades of propaganda, with enough mud was thrown, some are bound to stick. So in the mindsets of most Malays in Malaysia, Singapore is anti-Malays out to take advantage of them and must never be trusted. Singapore bashing and anti-Singapore tirades over the decades have become fashionable and thus, it will be embarrassing for the new PM to embrace Singapore and cooperate with this neighbour. To this end, UMNO politicians have basically ‘snookered’ themselves.
4. Singapore Bashing
There are no shortage of opportunistic politicians to do Singapore ‘bashing’. It is an art perpetuated by Mahathir and is politically cost free. This time, Khairy, UMNO Youth's President is real quick to jump on the bandwagon to exploit this issue of selling sand to Singapore. Traditionally, Youth president is accorded a ministerial post. Khairy is left out of the cabinet and well, he need to be heard and not be forgotten. Soon many more dormant politicians will be beating the same drum.
MEANINGFUL RELATIONSHIP, NO WAY
So in my conclusion, we are way off the mark for any new beginning with Malaysia. Good bilateral and mature relationship is still beyond the horizon. The underlying mistrust and fear of Singapore dominating the Malays has been so deeply ingrained in the mindset of ordinary Malays. The Singapore threat was meant to be a scare as well as a slogan to unite UMNO, but over the years, it has becomes self fulfil prophesy, many now actually believe the threat is real. Under this circumstance, it will take many more decades to eradicate the mistrust. Of course, there will be selective cooperation when the need arises. In the foreseeable future, give and take will be out of the equation.
BALL IN MALAYSIA COURT
Well the ball is now in Najib hand. Does he have the clout to silence all the anti-Singapore critics, only time will tell. He may decide to take the safer path like his predecessor to maintain status quo and not to rock this rickety boat. Or he may take the bull by the horn and once and for all, shown all Malaysians his is Boss. That is, if he dares to take on his ex-boss.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
MAHATHIR STINGING ATTACK ON LKY
MAHATHIR IS VERY ANGRY WITH LKY
Even before LKY complete his 8 days tour of Malaysia, Mahathir could not wait any longer to show his hatred for LKY. In his blog, with its trademark sarcasm, irrefutably displays his utmost frustration and envy that so many Malaysian politicians from both the government and opposition have accorded LKY with so much attention and respect. His blog whacks all who met up with LKY including Badawi which he refers as the 5th PM. Surely, this is a subtle warning to the 6th, Najib.
Mahathir dislike and tirades against Singapore are well documented. I have said many times, he is a consummated politician, skill in the manipulation and political exploitation. That’s how he was able to survive Malaysian politics for over 3 decades. This visit by LKY presents him a perfect opportunity to get back on centre stage. From the blog, it is apparent that he will use the water and sand issues to politicise his cause and manipulate the emotion of Malaysian particularly the Malays. His blog ended with remarks that he has more to say and reserve it for later. That means Mahathir’s dagger is unsheathed and I can hardly wait to watch this mudslinging drama unfold as well as how Najib will respond to his diatribe.
As a shrewd politician, Mahathir is also testing the ground, and if his support is not forthcoming, he may just let it fades. Already, comments supporting him are coming fast on his blog. At the same time, he has to be careful not to upset Najib too much as he himself ever said, that 'nothing is permanent, only personal interest is'. I sense that it will be difficult to garner any open support from any powerful politicians as he has no benefits to offer.
His blog portray LKY as a little emperor of the Middle Kingdom. The words used, “little”, “emperor”, “Middle Kingdom” has very subtle racial undertone. In my view, it is to rouse the emotion of the Malay constituency. The water and sand issue is to stir nationalistic sentiment and provide a meaningful platform for Mahathir to restore his political stature from political oblivion in the last few years.
I will reproduce his blog here for your reading pleasure.
THE MODERN MIDDLE KINGDOM
By
Dr. Mahathir Mohamad
1. Ancient China considered itself the centre of the world and called itself the Middle Kingdom. And well it should. It was far more advanced in every way than Europe of the Dark Ages. Maybe China is thinking of making a comeback.
2. But we already have a new Middle Kingdom now. During Lee Kuan Yew's triumphant visit to Malaysia he made it known to the Malaysian supplicants that Singapore regards the lands within 6000 miles radius of Singapore as its hinterland. This includes Beijing and Tokyo and of course Malaysia.
3. Of course this self-deluding perception places Singapore at the centre of a vast region. It is therefore the latter day Middle Kingdom. The rest are peripheral and are there to serve the interest of this somewhat tiny Middle Kingdom.
4. Kuan Yew also explained that the fear Singapore Chinese would control Iskandar whatever is not justified. Malays can also work there. It is good to know that Malays can also work in their own country. I wonder as what? Maybe someone should make a study of the Malays of Singapore just to know what it is like to be a Malay minority in their own country.
5. As for the 3 sen per 1000 gallons of raw water supplied to Singapore Lee says it was absurd for the former Prime Minister of hinterland Malaysia to ask to increase it to RM8 per 1000 gallons. I don't know where he got this. Some Malaysian officers did suggest this figure but we were ready to bargain and maybe settle for RM3. And why not? Johore sells raw water to Melaka for 30 sen, 1000% higher than to Singapore. And Melaka is, I believe, a part of Malaysia! Some Malaysians may see the irony of this.
6. The great 5th Prime Minister has decided that since the people of Johore did not want to sell sand to Singapore, Malaysia would not build any bridge, straight or crooked, or negotiate and settle the other issues like the Central Provident Fund, the Railway land. Maybe the 5th Prime Minister thinks he is punishing Singapore. Actually he is giving Singapore what its wants including the 3 sen per 1000 gallons water until 2061. Think of how many grains of nasi lemak we can buy with 3 sen in 2061. Imagine what 1000 gallons will earn for Singapore at that time. Can't think of a more astute PM for Malaysia.
7. All those who met the great man from the little country were lectured on how Malaysia should be run. We should not have anymore problems now. We have been told the direction to take. MCA must help UMNO to win because Singapore does not want an Islamic Party like PAS to win. We must ensure this. Sorry PAS. Working with the DAP, the offspring of PAP has not endeared you to Mr Lee.
8. I have a lot more to say about this little Emperor but I will reserve it for later.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Even before LKY complete his 8 days tour of Malaysia, Mahathir could not wait any longer to show his hatred for LKY. In his blog, with its trademark sarcasm, irrefutably displays his utmost frustration and envy that so many Malaysian politicians from both the government and opposition have accorded LKY with so much attention and respect. His blog whacks all who met up with LKY including Badawi which he refers as the 5th PM. Surely, this is a subtle warning to the 6th, Najib.
Mahathir dislike and tirades against Singapore are well documented. I have said many times, he is a consummated politician, skill in the manipulation and political exploitation. That’s how he was able to survive Malaysian politics for over 3 decades. This visit by LKY presents him a perfect opportunity to get back on centre stage. From the blog, it is apparent that he will use the water and sand issues to politicise his cause and manipulate the emotion of Malaysian particularly the Malays. His blog ended with remarks that he has more to say and reserve it for later. That means Mahathir’s dagger is unsheathed and I can hardly wait to watch this mudslinging drama unfold as well as how Najib will respond to his diatribe.
As a shrewd politician, Mahathir is also testing the ground, and if his support is not forthcoming, he may just let it fades. Already, comments supporting him are coming fast on his blog. At the same time, he has to be careful not to upset Najib too much as he himself ever said, that 'nothing is permanent, only personal interest is'. I sense that it will be difficult to garner any open support from any powerful politicians as he has no benefits to offer.
His blog portray LKY as a little emperor of the Middle Kingdom. The words used, “little”, “emperor”, “Middle Kingdom” has very subtle racial undertone. In my view, it is to rouse the emotion of the Malay constituency. The water and sand issue is to stir nationalistic sentiment and provide a meaningful platform for Mahathir to restore his political stature from political oblivion in the last few years.
I will reproduce his blog here for your reading pleasure.
THE MODERN MIDDLE KINGDOM
By
Dr. Mahathir Mohamad
1. Ancient China considered itself the centre of the world and called itself the Middle Kingdom. And well it should. It was far more advanced in every way than Europe of the Dark Ages. Maybe China is thinking of making a comeback.
2. But we already have a new Middle Kingdom now. During Lee Kuan Yew's triumphant visit to Malaysia he made it known to the Malaysian supplicants that Singapore regards the lands within 6000 miles radius of Singapore as its hinterland. This includes Beijing and Tokyo and of course Malaysia.
3. Of course this self-deluding perception places Singapore at the centre of a vast region. It is therefore the latter day Middle Kingdom. The rest are peripheral and are there to serve the interest of this somewhat tiny Middle Kingdom.
4. Kuan Yew also explained that the fear Singapore Chinese would control Iskandar whatever is not justified. Malays can also work there. It is good to know that Malays can also work in their own country. I wonder as what? Maybe someone should make a study of the Malays of Singapore just to know what it is like to be a Malay minority in their own country.
5. As for the 3 sen per 1000 gallons of raw water supplied to Singapore Lee says it was absurd for the former Prime Minister of hinterland Malaysia to ask to increase it to RM8 per 1000 gallons. I don't know where he got this. Some Malaysian officers did suggest this figure but we were ready to bargain and maybe settle for RM3. And why not? Johore sells raw water to Melaka for 30 sen, 1000% higher than to Singapore. And Melaka is, I believe, a part of Malaysia! Some Malaysians may see the irony of this.
6. The great 5th Prime Minister has decided that since the people of Johore did not want to sell sand to Singapore, Malaysia would not build any bridge, straight or crooked, or negotiate and settle the other issues like the Central Provident Fund, the Railway land. Maybe the 5th Prime Minister thinks he is punishing Singapore. Actually he is giving Singapore what its wants including the 3 sen per 1000 gallons water until 2061. Think of how many grains of nasi lemak we can buy with 3 sen in 2061. Imagine what 1000 gallons will earn for Singapore at that time. Can't think of a more astute PM for Malaysia.
7. All those who met the great man from the little country were lectured on how Malaysia should be run. We should not have anymore problems now. We have been told the direction to take. MCA must help UMNO to win because Singapore does not want an Islamic Party like PAS to win. We must ensure this. Sorry PAS. Working with the DAP, the offspring of PAP has not endeared you to Mr Lee.
8. I have a lot more to say about this little Emperor but I will reserve it for later.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, June 13, 2009
LKY Guarded Optimism on Malaysia
LKY has spoken up. In an interview on Thursday night, he said rather firmly,
'I had to emphasise that it cannot be cooperation today, non-cooperation next year and then back again, backwards and forwards,' 'No private investor will go into huge projects, which require decades to recoup, unless there's long-term stability in the policy,'
Thus he has reiterated that if the Malaysia wanted Singaporean investment, they have to be serious and committed to improving long term bilateral ties with Singapore.
LKY believes that the Malaysian cabinet is solidly behind Prime Minister Najib's policy to co-operate with Singapore in a broad range of areas. He said:
"If there are discordant voices either from the states who may voice some reservations or from whatever high sources within UMNO, then doubts will be cast in the minds of private investors."
I remember vividly during Mahathir’s era when relationship blew hot and cold at the whim and fancy of the ex-Malaysian PM. The 1990 POA on the Malayan Railway Land and the price of water agreed at 60 sen were prime examples. It was agreement followed shortly by disagreement. The unpleasant shutdown of the CLOB, banning of sand to Singapore, closing the airspace for training and constant criticising Singapore meritocratic policy, marginalisation of Singapore Malays has cause relationship to be rocky and turbulent at times. Effectively, LKY is telling the Malaysian that Singapore do not wish to live through these episodes again as they are counterproductive. Malaysia and Singapore should cooperate for long term mutual benefits.
I am sure Mahathir is watching from the sideline with anger. When queried by reporter whether LKY will meet him, he said in his typical cynical style, loaded with sarcasm.
I don’t see why he would request to see me, I am a nobody,” he told reporters when pressed further what if there was a request from Lee to see him.
“Lee Kuan Yew has much experience. Our politicians know nothing. That is why we have to learn from Singapore. Singapore is a great country, they invest so much money,” he said.
On the third bridge issue, Dr Mahathir said: “If we give sand, then we can get the bridge.” - Bernama
The trip has so far been positive for LKY. He managed to meet most of the senior Malaysian politicians, Sultans, Mentri Besars and even the wife to PM Najib. Officially, the Malaysian press coverage has been positive as anticipated with the Chinese medias giving more spin than the English. In Singapore ST, the coverage was comprehensive with many pages including front page.
So far, Mahathir and his anti-Singapore quarters have kept a stoic silence. This reaffirms and demonstrates Najib grip on UMNO and BN politicians is real. Unlike during Badawi’s reign, every politicians spoke their minds independently without following any directives from the PM’s office. So far no one has gone out of steps.
Perhaps they are waiting for a more opportune time. Mahathir has tried to look unperturbed. The issue of “Crooked Bridge” is a dead horse to flog. Likewise, raising objection to Singapore investment in the Iskander project will be politically unwise and may backfire against him. But Mahathir silence won't be for long. Sensing the right time, he will stoke nationalist sentiment using the sale of sand to Singapore to underscore his points and exploit the Malay ground. That he has hinted at his parting shot regarding sale of sand and the third bridge.
------------------------------------------------------------------
'I had to emphasise that it cannot be cooperation today, non-cooperation next year and then back again, backwards and forwards,' 'No private investor will go into huge projects, which require decades to recoup, unless there's long-term stability in the policy,'
Thus he has reiterated that if the Malaysia wanted Singaporean investment, they have to be serious and committed to improving long term bilateral ties with Singapore.
LKY believes that the Malaysian cabinet is solidly behind Prime Minister Najib's policy to co-operate with Singapore in a broad range of areas. He said:
"If there are discordant voices either from the states who may voice some reservations or from whatever high sources within UMNO, then doubts will be cast in the minds of private investors."
I remember vividly during Mahathir’s era when relationship blew hot and cold at the whim and fancy of the ex-Malaysian PM. The 1990 POA on the Malayan Railway Land and the price of water agreed at 60 sen were prime examples. It was agreement followed shortly by disagreement. The unpleasant shutdown of the CLOB, banning of sand to Singapore, closing the airspace for training and constant criticising Singapore meritocratic policy, marginalisation of Singapore Malays has cause relationship to be rocky and turbulent at times. Effectively, LKY is telling the Malaysian that Singapore do not wish to live through these episodes again as they are counterproductive. Malaysia and Singapore should cooperate for long term mutual benefits.
I am sure Mahathir is watching from the sideline with anger. When queried by reporter whether LKY will meet him, he said in his typical cynical style, loaded with sarcasm.
I don’t see why he would request to see me, I am a nobody,” he told reporters when pressed further what if there was a request from Lee to see him.
“Lee Kuan Yew has much experience. Our politicians know nothing. That is why we have to learn from Singapore. Singapore is a great country, they invest so much money,” he said.
On the third bridge issue, Dr Mahathir said: “If we give sand, then we can get the bridge.” - Bernama
The trip has so far been positive for LKY. He managed to meet most of the senior Malaysian politicians, Sultans, Mentri Besars and even the wife to PM Najib. Officially, the Malaysian press coverage has been positive as anticipated with the Chinese medias giving more spin than the English. In Singapore ST, the coverage was comprehensive with many pages including front page.
So far, Mahathir and his anti-Singapore quarters have kept a stoic silence. This reaffirms and demonstrates Najib grip on UMNO and BN politicians is real. Unlike during Badawi’s reign, every politicians spoke their minds independently without following any directives from the PM’s office. So far no one has gone out of steps.
Perhaps they are waiting for a more opportune time. Mahathir has tried to look unperturbed. The issue of “Crooked Bridge” is a dead horse to flog. Likewise, raising objection to Singapore investment in the Iskander project will be politically unwise and may backfire against him. But Mahathir silence won't be for long. Sensing the right time, he will stoke nationalist sentiment using the sale of sand to Singapore to underscore his points and exploit the Malay ground. That he has hinted at his parting shot regarding sale of sand and the third bridge.
------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, June 9, 2009
LEE KUAN YEW VISITS MALAYSIA
WALKING DOWN MEMORY LANE
Lee Kuan Yew is to visit Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur and tour four Malaysian states, Penang, Perak, Kelantan and Pahang over the next 8days. He will meet PM Najib, his deputy as well as UMNO and BN politicians, businessmen and opposition leaders. I find the timing of the visit surprising and the itineraries extraordinary and perplexing.
MEETING THE OPPOSTION
The visit to Malaysia will bring LKY to the most unlikely places. Visiting Penang and meeting Lim Guan Eng of DAP will surely stoke resentment in some quarters of Malaysia. DAP was reputed to be the ‘illegitimate child’ of PAP when Singapore separated from Malaysia. Meeting Nik Aziz of PAS was unthinkable many years ago because of its religious intolerance. To balance these two meetings, LKY will enter the hornet nest in Perak. There he will meet new MB, Zambry, controversially installed by the Sultan of Perak, which he will also meet. The MB's row is still under the preview of the judiciary. I believe meeting with MB Zambry was a favour to Najib. This is to give some recognition and legitimacy to his appointment. All these meetings are a big puzzle for me. I find this baffling and difficult to comprehend.Imagine Najib visiting Chee Soon Juan or Low Thia Kiang in Hougang.
NAJIB THE BOSS
I salute PM Najib for his political courage to sanction this trip. They tour can bring unintended political repercussion and any slip up can potentially bring embarrassment to Najib and the government of Malaysia. Najib must have weighed the political gain against any fallout. This demonstrates Najib confidence in managing domestic politics and handling all the ‘warlords’ and rightists from UMNO. None of his predecessor including Mahathir would have the guts to approve such an itinerary.
MOTIVES
What are the political motives? Why is LKY making this trip? What can the Malaysian gain? LKY must have a very good reason to walk down this slippery slope.
LEADERSHIP
Authorising LKY’s trip to the Malay’s heartland conveys a message to all Malaysians especially his fellow UMNO colleagues that he is a strong leader with strong political will. This also implies his ability to manage sensitive relationship with Singapore and LKY which his predecessors has failed. It reinforces his image as the biggest ‘warlord’, an unchallenged boss not beholden to any quarters especially Mahathir.
HISTORY
Singapore had been part of Malaysia and LKY was the man instrumental to both joining as well as separation from Malaysia. When Singapore was part of Malaysia, LKY has been the thorn in the flesh for UMNO. UMNO is determined to ensure that it is the Malays who must be the political master under the ‘Ketuanan Malayu’ concept of Malay supremacy. But LKY has different ideas; he wanted a Malaysian’s Malaysia under the principle of meritocracy. The Tunku feared that LKY might succeed and may even become the PM of Malaysia. For that, Tunku forced him out of Malaysia, and Singapore became independent in 1965 by accident.
MUTUAL DEPENDENCE
In the psyche of average Malaysians, Singapore is always seen as a younger brother (adek) who were chased out of the house but still need help and generosity from the elder brother (abang). In the early days, Singapore was highly dependent on Malaysia as a hinterland for food, water as well as commerce.
Now in a globalised world, Singapore is less dependent on Malaysia. Instead, Malaysia is highly dependent on Singapore for investment as well as providing many jobs for Malaysians. Both countries have become mutually dependent on one another and Malaysia had realised that it does not have the political muscle to arm twist Singapore as it wishes anymore. Economically, Singapore has become richer and more successful and highly respected in this world. Najib may have acknowledged this and decides to move on and stop playing brinksmanship as Mahathir did. Such attitude is counterproductive especially when Malaysia's economy is facing the worst downturn in this recession.
UMNO POLITICS
Over the years, LKY was demonised by UMNO at every opportunity. It was fashionable for Singapore bashing and demonstrations against LKY were common. It served many purposes. It promotes Malays unity and superiority; deflects attention in times of domestic problems, and allows politicians a popular platform and topics to capture public attention. And it is cost free.
SINGAPORE THE BASHING BOY
This demonization of LKY and Singapore becomes so apparent during Mahathir’s era. Mahathir even succeeded in convincing the politically apathetic Chinese in Malaysia to become anti-Singapore. Mahathir had found this a useful tool to unite his country and keep his UMNO rightists happy. Many a times he would criticised Singapore for ‘marginalising the Malays in Singapore’ and often praises his Bumiputra policy for improving the welfare of Malaysia Malays. UMNO was protrayed as relevant and very important. And he will continue to warn them if they do not support UMNO, they will end up in similar plight like the Malays in the south. Of course this is outright fallacy, but the rhetoric nonetheless is widely accepted.
TIME TO MOVE ON
It is opportune time to change the negative perception of LKY in Malaysia. The Malaysian is in good position to put a positive spin and cast away any negative image of LKY and Singapore. LKY needs to convince his host that Singapore has no quarrel with Malaysia, especially the Malays, and reiterates that Singapore is not trying to undermine its political system. All is needed is some praises and accolades from LKY, publicly acknowledges Malaysia’s impressive industrialisation and development especially among the Bumiputras. The rest of the propaganda can be left to the government controlled presses in Malaysia.
So here is an opportunity for LKY to redress this perception.
REMOVING THE POLITICAL BAGGAGE
The visit by LKY may be time to unshackle the old political baggage. The bad blood had lasted too long. It is most appropriate for LKY to end this chapter gracefully. The ‘adek’ comes home to visit ‘abang’ to mend ties. This will give Malaysia ‘face’ for closure and allows a new beginning for both Najib and Lee Hsien Loong. It will make the work easier for both PMs. Both are children of respective ex-prime ministers. If Najib can cease this opportunity, then the thorny relationship and difficult issues between Malaysia and Singapore will stand a better chance to be resolved. And both can look forward to better and less contentious relationship.
REMOVING THE MISTRUST
Any wise politicians from both sides of the Causeway are consciously aware that there are too many politically motivated constrains to economic cooperation, both at private and public level. It is time to remove the prejudice, mistrust and undo the propaganda perpetuated and exacerbated by Mahathir. Successfully shedding this anti Singapore attitude will also spur Malaysians and civil servants to be friendlier to Singapore visitors and investors. Najib seems to be aware that there are so much more to gain from cooperation. If LKY can humble himself in the Malay heartland, it certainly can help mend ties with Malaysia. Najib will be able to claim credit for this initiative for improving ties with Singapore. This too can significantly improve Najib’s image as a statesman.
REMOVING THE PREDUJICE
The tour if properly orchestrated and the right words articulated will help clear the mistrust and remove bad blood between both countries. The prejudices from both sides are dampeners to any businesses. Many companies, especially the Malay controlled, fear to tread this political mine field by cooperating with Singapore. No Malays would want to be seen to ‘Kow tow” or cooperate with an ‘enemy’ like Singapore. One classic example was when Mahathir vetoed the sales of a Malaysian telecom company Time Engineering from being bought over by Singtel. Malaysia also banned the sale of sand to Singapore and stop the trading of Malaysian shares on SGX. Mahathir is also vehement in his objection for Singapore to invest in Iskandar project in Johore using racially sensitive argument. Many Malaysian farmers losses business to Singapore when the latter decided to sought food elsewhere after Malaysian constant unhappiness over rising inflation in Johore.
CLEAR THE PATH FOR LEE HSIEN LOONG
Ideally, Singapore should always have a special relationship with Malaysia. We should help one another unconditionally, but under Mahathir, the political climate made it impossible. Now both countries are under tremendous pressure from this unprecedented economic crisis. And it is imperative that both countries should explore every opportunity for mutual benefits. Any business is desperately needed to create jobs for both countries. This new attitudes should override all existing bilateral difficult issues. I believe LKY is in a perfect position to clear the path for his son Lee Hsien Loong. Younger Lee will be visiting KL soon to meet PM Najib, son of LKY’s contemporary Abdul Razak. LKY may be the forward party to negotiate a deal with Malaysia.
SIZING UP MALAYSIA
Officially the news media observe this trip is for LKY to size up and update himself on Malaysia. I thought this analysis unconvincing. Malaysia is an open society and there is no secret to hide. There are no shortage of news and information on Malaysia. Of course, he may have an insight into Malaysian domestic politics after meeting politicians on both sides of the bench.
OUTLOOK
8 days is a long time. During this period, many things can go wrong. I will follow the news of LKY visit and try to make my own interpretations on what was seen, said and most important of all, what was not said. Maybe, there may be some surprises installed for the public.
------------------------------------------------------------
Lee Kuan Yew is to visit Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur and tour four Malaysian states, Penang, Perak, Kelantan and Pahang over the next 8days. He will meet PM Najib, his deputy as well as UMNO and BN politicians, businessmen and opposition leaders. I find the timing of the visit surprising and the itineraries extraordinary and perplexing.
MEETING THE OPPOSTION
The visit to Malaysia will bring LKY to the most unlikely places. Visiting Penang and meeting Lim Guan Eng of DAP will surely stoke resentment in some quarters of Malaysia. DAP was reputed to be the ‘illegitimate child’ of PAP when Singapore separated from Malaysia. Meeting Nik Aziz of PAS was unthinkable many years ago because of its religious intolerance. To balance these two meetings, LKY will enter the hornet nest in Perak. There he will meet new MB, Zambry, controversially installed by the Sultan of Perak, which he will also meet. The MB's row is still under the preview of the judiciary. I believe meeting with MB Zambry was a favour to Najib. This is to give some recognition and legitimacy to his appointment. All these meetings are a big puzzle for me. I find this baffling and difficult to comprehend.Imagine Najib visiting Chee Soon Juan or Low Thia Kiang in Hougang.
NAJIB THE BOSS
I salute PM Najib for his political courage to sanction this trip. They tour can bring unintended political repercussion and any slip up can potentially bring embarrassment to Najib and the government of Malaysia. Najib must have weighed the political gain against any fallout. This demonstrates Najib confidence in managing domestic politics and handling all the ‘warlords’ and rightists from UMNO. None of his predecessor including Mahathir would have the guts to approve such an itinerary.
MOTIVES
What are the political motives? Why is LKY making this trip? What can the Malaysian gain? LKY must have a very good reason to walk down this slippery slope.
LEADERSHIP
Authorising LKY’s trip to the Malay’s heartland conveys a message to all Malaysians especially his fellow UMNO colleagues that he is a strong leader with strong political will. This also implies his ability to manage sensitive relationship with Singapore and LKY which his predecessors has failed. It reinforces his image as the biggest ‘warlord’, an unchallenged boss not beholden to any quarters especially Mahathir.
HISTORY
Singapore had been part of Malaysia and LKY was the man instrumental to both joining as well as separation from Malaysia. When Singapore was part of Malaysia, LKY has been the thorn in the flesh for UMNO. UMNO is determined to ensure that it is the Malays who must be the political master under the ‘Ketuanan Malayu’ concept of Malay supremacy. But LKY has different ideas; he wanted a Malaysian’s Malaysia under the principle of meritocracy. The Tunku feared that LKY might succeed and may even become the PM of Malaysia. For that, Tunku forced him out of Malaysia, and Singapore became independent in 1965 by accident.
MUTUAL DEPENDENCE
In the psyche of average Malaysians, Singapore is always seen as a younger brother (adek) who were chased out of the house but still need help and generosity from the elder brother (abang). In the early days, Singapore was highly dependent on Malaysia as a hinterland for food, water as well as commerce.
Now in a globalised world, Singapore is less dependent on Malaysia. Instead, Malaysia is highly dependent on Singapore for investment as well as providing many jobs for Malaysians. Both countries have become mutually dependent on one another and Malaysia had realised that it does not have the political muscle to arm twist Singapore as it wishes anymore. Economically, Singapore has become richer and more successful and highly respected in this world. Najib may have acknowledged this and decides to move on and stop playing brinksmanship as Mahathir did. Such attitude is counterproductive especially when Malaysia's economy is facing the worst downturn in this recession.
UMNO POLITICS
Over the years, LKY was demonised by UMNO at every opportunity. It was fashionable for Singapore bashing and demonstrations against LKY were common. It served many purposes. It promotes Malays unity and superiority; deflects attention in times of domestic problems, and allows politicians a popular platform and topics to capture public attention. And it is cost free.
SINGAPORE THE BASHING BOY
This demonization of LKY and Singapore becomes so apparent during Mahathir’s era. Mahathir even succeeded in convincing the politically apathetic Chinese in Malaysia to become anti-Singapore. Mahathir had found this a useful tool to unite his country and keep his UMNO rightists happy. Many a times he would criticised Singapore for ‘marginalising the Malays in Singapore’ and often praises his Bumiputra policy for improving the welfare of Malaysia Malays. UMNO was protrayed as relevant and very important. And he will continue to warn them if they do not support UMNO, they will end up in similar plight like the Malays in the south. Of course this is outright fallacy, but the rhetoric nonetheless is widely accepted.
TIME TO MOVE ON
It is opportune time to change the negative perception of LKY in Malaysia. The Malaysian is in good position to put a positive spin and cast away any negative image of LKY and Singapore. LKY needs to convince his host that Singapore has no quarrel with Malaysia, especially the Malays, and reiterates that Singapore is not trying to undermine its political system. All is needed is some praises and accolades from LKY, publicly acknowledges Malaysia’s impressive industrialisation and development especially among the Bumiputras. The rest of the propaganda can be left to the government controlled presses in Malaysia.
So here is an opportunity for LKY to redress this perception.
REMOVING THE POLITICAL BAGGAGE
The visit by LKY may be time to unshackle the old political baggage. The bad blood had lasted too long. It is most appropriate for LKY to end this chapter gracefully. The ‘adek’ comes home to visit ‘abang’ to mend ties. This will give Malaysia ‘face’ for closure and allows a new beginning for both Najib and Lee Hsien Loong. It will make the work easier for both PMs. Both are children of respective ex-prime ministers. If Najib can cease this opportunity, then the thorny relationship and difficult issues between Malaysia and Singapore will stand a better chance to be resolved. And both can look forward to better and less contentious relationship.
REMOVING THE MISTRUST
Any wise politicians from both sides of the Causeway are consciously aware that there are too many politically motivated constrains to economic cooperation, both at private and public level. It is time to remove the prejudice, mistrust and undo the propaganda perpetuated and exacerbated by Mahathir. Successfully shedding this anti Singapore attitude will also spur Malaysians and civil servants to be friendlier to Singapore visitors and investors. Najib seems to be aware that there are so much more to gain from cooperation. If LKY can humble himself in the Malay heartland, it certainly can help mend ties with Malaysia. Najib will be able to claim credit for this initiative for improving ties with Singapore. This too can significantly improve Najib’s image as a statesman.
REMOVING THE PREDUJICE
The tour if properly orchestrated and the right words articulated will help clear the mistrust and remove bad blood between both countries. The prejudices from both sides are dampeners to any businesses. Many companies, especially the Malay controlled, fear to tread this political mine field by cooperating with Singapore. No Malays would want to be seen to ‘Kow tow” or cooperate with an ‘enemy’ like Singapore. One classic example was when Mahathir vetoed the sales of a Malaysian telecom company Time Engineering from being bought over by Singtel. Malaysia also banned the sale of sand to Singapore and stop the trading of Malaysian shares on SGX. Mahathir is also vehement in his objection for Singapore to invest in Iskandar project in Johore using racially sensitive argument. Many Malaysian farmers losses business to Singapore when the latter decided to sought food elsewhere after Malaysian constant unhappiness over rising inflation in Johore.
CLEAR THE PATH FOR LEE HSIEN LOONG
Ideally, Singapore should always have a special relationship with Malaysia. We should help one another unconditionally, but under Mahathir, the political climate made it impossible. Now both countries are under tremendous pressure from this unprecedented economic crisis. And it is imperative that both countries should explore every opportunity for mutual benefits. Any business is desperately needed to create jobs for both countries. This new attitudes should override all existing bilateral difficult issues. I believe LKY is in a perfect position to clear the path for his son Lee Hsien Loong. Younger Lee will be visiting KL soon to meet PM Najib, son of LKY’s contemporary Abdul Razak. LKY may be the forward party to negotiate a deal with Malaysia.
SIZING UP MALAYSIA
Officially the news media observe this trip is for LKY to size up and update himself on Malaysia. I thought this analysis unconvincing. Malaysia is an open society and there is no secret to hide. There are no shortage of news and information on Malaysia. Of course, he may have an insight into Malaysian domestic politics after meeting politicians on both sides of the bench.
OUTLOOK
8 days is a long time. During this period, many things can go wrong. I will follow the news of LKY visit and try to make my own interpretations on what was seen, said and most important of all, what was not said. Maybe, there may be some surprises installed for the public.
------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, June 7, 2009
LEE BEE WAH very silent
Lee Bee Wah, president of STTA public outburst against her head coach Liu Guodong during last year Olympic has raised public unhappiness. I watched it on CNA and was disgusted and totally agreed with the public comments to the presses and in the cyberspace her public flare up was outrageously ill timed and uncalled for. It was only one day after the country had won an Olympic silver medal after 50 years of trying. Ironically, the medal was won by the same coach that LBW castigated in public for some slipped up. They country is in a jubilant mood, celebrating a rare win for Singapore in the sport arena. While the praises and congratulations were still pouring in and out of nowhere, this MP for Ang Mo Kio decided to get the limelight.
To this day, I am still puzzled by the timing of the outburst. Was it politically motivated, capitalising on the moment of glory to do this stunt to capture the attention of all Singaporeans to know her and hear her loud and clear? As an MP, it’s hard to believe that she is not aware of the sensitivity involved and the protocol of public bashing of one’s subordinate. If this was a politically motivated action to showcase her leadership, then her objective would have been partially achieved. Now all Singaporeans know who Lee Bee Wah is. The downside is, she left a big public relation debris for her political masters to clear up. As we won the Olympic silver, it was easy to forgive when she apologised. That I thought was the end of the episode.
The national award of Singapore Coach of the Year started episode 2. When asked why Liu Guodong was not nominated for this award, she shot herself in the foot again. The public as well as some well known sport council members were surprise that a coach that won an Olympic medal was excluded and not nominated. Again Lee Bee Wah made a classic error. She said, a coach must be 'professional, have integrity, be able to gel the team, and be well-respected by all his players'. This implied the coach lack integrity and professionalism. It was appalling that a politician could have uttered such remarks without the ability to substantiate and justify what she commented on.
All coaches have skill in psychological mind games and I think Liu Guodong is no exception. He decided to fly in to Singapore to seek clarification. As the remarks by LBW can potentially hurt his future career, he needs clarification and that was very reasonable to ask for. That I think has put the shutter back in LBW’s court. Following many meeting with STTA’s officials, without the presence of LBW, no acceptable outcome was forthcoming. Even a junior minister appeals for amicable solution. And Liu Guodong said he will be back. And that’s another psychological pressure.
But where is LBW? Why so silent? For someone who was so loud and vocal, the silence has big significance and many implications.
I am inclined to believe that she has become a political liability for her political master. As an MP in the Prime Minister GRC of Ang Mo Kio, she cannot continue to raise controversy at a time of economic recession. An MP must exemplify good common sense, humble and empathise with the common people. The perception on the ground is she is lacking in all these areas. May I borrow a phrase from the AWARE saga, she may be asked to “shut up and sit down”. If no apology and clarification is heard from her personally in the months ahead, then my assumption look reasonable.
If I am wrong, then there will be episode 3.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Fra
To this day, I am still puzzled by the timing of the outburst. Was it politically motivated, capitalising on the moment of glory to do this stunt to capture the attention of all Singaporeans to know her and hear her loud and clear? As an MP, it’s hard to believe that she is not aware of the sensitivity involved and the protocol of public bashing of one’s subordinate. If this was a politically motivated action to showcase her leadership, then her objective would have been partially achieved. Now all Singaporeans know who Lee Bee Wah is. The downside is, she left a big public relation debris for her political masters to clear up. As we won the Olympic silver, it was easy to forgive when she apologised. That I thought was the end of the episode.
The national award of Singapore Coach of the Year started episode 2. When asked why Liu Guodong was not nominated for this award, she shot herself in the foot again. The public as well as some well known sport council members were surprise that a coach that won an Olympic medal was excluded and not nominated. Again Lee Bee Wah made a classic error. She said, a coach must be 'professional, have integrity, be able to gel the team, and be well-respected by all his players'. This implied the coach lack integrity and professionalism. It was appalling that a politician could have uttered such remarks without the ability to substantiate and justify what she commented on.
All coaches have skill in psychological mind games and I think Liu Guodong is no exception. He decided to fly in to Singapore to seek clarification. As the remarks by LBW can potentially hurt his future career, he needs clarification and that was very reasonable to ask for. That I think has put the shutter back in LBW’s court. Following many meeting with STTA’s officials, without the presence of LBW, no acceptable outcome was forthcoming. Even a junior minister appeals for amicable solution. And Liu Guodong said he will be back. And that’s another psychological pressure.
But where is LBW? Why so silent? For someone who was so loud and vocal, the silence has big significance and many implications.
I am inclined to believe that she has become a political liability for her political master. As an MP in the Prime Minister GRC of Ang Mo Kio, she cannot continue to raise controversy at a time of economic recession. An MP must exemplify good common sense, humble and empathise with the common people. The perception on the ground is she is lacking in all these areas. May I borrow a phrase from the AWARE saga, she may be asked to “shut up and sit down”. If no apology and clarification is heard from her personally in the months ahead, then my assumption look reasonable.
If I am wrong, then there will be episode 3.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Fra
Saturday, June 6, 2009
BUY HIGH SELL LOW by Temasek
The golden rule of investment for any successful investor is to buy low and sell high. But this is always easier said than done. Novice investors are more too often caught in buying frenzy, ending up as a laughing stock from seasoned investors as suckers for buying high and selling low. But take heart, do not be dishearten, even the very big boys of investors do end up buying high and selling low.
The recent sale of Barclays stake by Temasek does illustrate this point. It bought the stock almost at the peak and sold at the bottom of the market, losing an estimated S1.4 billion. Similarly, this Temasek shamble followed hard on the heels of the colossal loss on the Bank of American stake bought near the top of the market and disposed off near the bottom of the market. Temasek suffered losses in excess of S$3 billion over the sales of BOC stake.
The questions one beg to ask here is just how all the MBAs and PHDs of economics, outstanding scholars and civil servants of high pedigree, highly paid foreign talents with outstanding resumes got it all so wrong at Temasek. They are experts in field of finance and banking, risks management, strategic investment and due diligence. They are paid millions to be ahead of the curve and yet they display the same folly as novice investor. The simple truth is that no one is immune to this investment syndrome, ‘BUY HIGH, SELL LOW’.
Investment is all about timing. The professionals at Temasek got the fundamental outrageously wrong. They timing of the purchase was too premature and then made the classic error of selling too early. As the financial crisis deepened towards the end of 2008, with macroeconomic landscape deteriorating rapidly, they must have panic and decide to cut loss by dumping both Barclays and BOC shares. Interesting, recently the SWF of Abu Dhabi also divested their entire stake in Barclays with a gain of almost S$3 billion. It bought the stake after Temasek, when Barclays was desperate and sold last week when the stock recovered, after Temasek had disposed its entire stake.
The moral of the story is man is not infallible. In investment, strings of qualifications and experiences do not necessary guarantee success. Investment is a soft science that is complicated by too many variables. Choosing only the correct variables in decision making is an art as well as luck. The macroeconomics is many much affected by political decisions and fiscal policies. Human sentiment is normally unpredictable but is one of the greatest influences in investment climate. That could explain the volatility and incompatibility of stock prices at times. Common sense and rationality are at times completely ignored in investment, instead human allows sentiment to defy logics and reasons.
Getting it wrong in investment is no big deal. But in the case of Temasek investment in Barclays and BOC, the question on my mind is when did they acknowledged this investment has gone wrong. Upon acknowledging the mistake, as professional investors must do, quickly divest and mitigate the loss. Well, these professionals have the management tools and credentials to manage an aborted investment. Did they execute their decisions professionally and in a timely manner? We can only speculate, because no answer will be forthcoming.
For all those investors that have make wrong investment, do not despair as you are not alone. Even the best in the game can get it wrong. Take comfort, as in the bull fighting ring, the matadors do not win all the times, sometimes the bulls also win. The difference is, if the bull wins, the matador picture will be on the front page. Likewise, if the big boy loses big, we also read it from the newspaper. And when this loss becomes public news, they will be many vocal voices asking for accountability as the money belongs to the people and the state.
-------------------------------------Living to see the world------------------------------
The recent sale of Barclays stake by Temasek does illustrate this point. It bought the stock almost at the peak and sold at the bottom of the market, losing an estimated S1.4 billion. Similarly, this Temasek shamble followed hard on the heels of the colossal loss on the Bank of American stake bought near the top of the market and disposed off near the bottom of the market. Temasek suffered losses in excess of S$3 billion over the sales of BOC stake.
The questions one beg to ask here is just how all the MBAs and PHDs of economics, outstanding scholars and civil servants of high pedigree, highly paid foreign talents with outstanding resumes got it all so wrong at Temasek. They are experts in field of finance and banking, risks management, strategic investment and due diligence. They are paid millions to be ahead of the curve and yet they display the same folly as novice investor. The simple truth is that no one is immune to this investment syndrome, ‘BUY HIGH, SELL LOW’.
Investment is all about timing. The professionals at Temasek got the fundamental outrageously wrong. They timing of the purchase was too premature and then made the classic error of selling too early. As the financial crisis deepened towards the end of 2008, with macroeconomic landscape deteriorating rapidly, they must have panic and decide to cut loss by dumping both Barclays and BOC shares. Interesting, recently the SWF of Abu Dhabi also divested their entire stake in Barclays with a gain of almost S$3 billion. It bought the stake after Temasek, when Barclays was desperate and sold last week when the stock recovered, after Temasek had disposed its entire stake.
The moral of the story is man is not infallible. In investment, strings of qualifications and experiences do not necessary guarantee success. Investment is a soft science that is complicated by too many variables. Choosing only the correct variables in decision making is an art as well as luck. The macroeconomics is many much affected by political decisions and fiscal policies. Human sentiment is normally unpredictable but is one of the greatest influences in investment climate. That could explain the volatility and incompatibility of stock prices at times. Common sense and rationality are at times completely ignored in investment, instead human allows sentiment to defy logics and reasons.
Getting it wrong in investment is no big deal. But in the case of Temasek investment in Barclays and BOC, the question on my mind is when did they acknowledged this investment has gone wrong. Upon acknowledging the mistake, as professional investors must do, quickly divest and mitigate the loss. Well, these professionals have the management tools and credentials to manage an aborted investment. Did they execute their decisions professionally and in a timely manner? We can only speculate, because no answer will be forthcoming.
For all those investors that have make wrong investment, do not despair as you are not alone. Even the best in the game can get it wrong. Take comfort, as in the bull fighting ring, the matadors do not win all the times, sometimes the bulls also win. The difference is, if the bull wins, the matador picture will be on the front page. Likewise, if the big boy loses big, we also read it from the newspaper. And when this loss becomes public news, they will be many vocal voices asking for accountability as the money belongs to the people and the state.
-------------------------------------Living to see the world------------------------------
Tuesday, June 2, 2009
GM BANKRUPT, SO WHAT?
American industrial icon, founded almost 100 years ago, used to be the face of American industrial power had filed for bankruptcy. This filing has been anticipated long ago as the only option left for GM. So it didn’t came as a surprise to anyone in the world. They was no mayhem for the financial market, instead, the Dow Jones ended 220 points up. The rest of the world markets from Asia to Europe too enjoy one of the best days of the current market phenomenal rally.
GM has gone bankrupt, but so what? The factories will still be around, the workers will still be working and the same cars are still being produced. In reality, it’s just restructuring the company with a new owner taking over. Some assets are divested and many creditors are forced to write off loans and to accept new repayment terms. Employees too will have to accept the lost of perks and benefits. They have no choice if they wish to keep their jobs.
The biggest shareholder of GM will be the US government. This is the continuing phenomenon in corporate America. Previously, the US government does not own any commercial assets. Now it own substantial stakes in major banks, insurance companies and financial institutions. The US government used to pride itself as the only country that truly practice free market economy. It boasts the superiority of capitalism over socialism or communism. It used to berate other countries for subsidising industries and accused other countries of unfair competition. This financial crisis will forever change the landscape of corporate America. Perhaps US government should take a page from Singapore's model to create something similar to Temasek Holding or GIC.
The failure of GM should be a lesson to all American companies. It needs to be nimble and competitive. It had to be relevant to the rest of the world. It cannot ignore and be oblivious to the market needs of the rest of the world. The world is just too globalised and it cannot be inward looking and fool itself that it produces the best models and able to survive on domestics market alone. It needs to learn from Toyota and Honda.
The trying question is, can the new company survives. Or will it bleed more red ink and taxpayers have to foot the bills. Can they seriously compete with the Japanese or Korean auto makers? Failures means that American will be driving Asian made cars in future, just like all the products made in China sold in Walmart. Only time will tell.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GM has gone bankrupt, but so what? The factories will still be around, the workers will still be working and the same cars are still being produced. In reality, it’s just restructuring the company with a new owner taking over. Some assets are divested and many creditors are forced to write off loans and to accept new repayment terms. Employees too will have to accept the lost of perks and benefits. They have no choice if they wish to keep their jobs.
The biggest shareholder of GM will be the US government. This is the continuing phenomenon in corporate America. Previously, the US government does not own any commercial assets. Now it own substantial stakes in major banks, insurance companies and financial institutions. The US government used to pride itself as the only country that truly practice free market economy. It boasts the superiority of capitalism over socialism or communism. It used to berate other countries for subsidising industries and accused other countries of unfair competition. This financial crisis will forever change the landscape of corporate America. Perhaps US government should take a page from Singapore's model to create something similar to Temasek Holding or GIC.
The failure of GM should be a lesson to all American companies. It needs to be nimble and competitive. It had to be relevant to the rest of the world. It cannot ignore and be oblivious to the market needs of the rest of the world. The world is just too globalised and it cannot be inward looking and fool itself that it produces the best models and able to survive on domestics market alone. It needs to learn from Toyota and Honda.
The trying question is, can the new company survives. Or will it bleed more red ink and taxpayers have to foot the bills. Can they seriously compete with the Japanese or Korean auto makers? Failures means that American will be driving Asian made cars in future, just like all the products made in China sold in Walmart. Only time will tell.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, May 24, 2009
The MALAYSIA SINGAPORE 'COLD WAR' by Malaysian Today
This article appears of Malaysian Today on 23 May, after a state visit by the new PM Najib to Singapore. The article was written by RPK, Raja Petra Kamaruddin, famous blogger and online writer for MT. It is a very interesting read which may explain why Malaysia and Singapore has always had a thorny, testy, chilly and at times turbulent relationship.
Parts of the article are reproduced below:
Surely Dr Mahathir can’t agree to Najib giving in to Singapore’s demands like what is currently happening. Are we going to see Dr Mahathir going berserk like back in 2006 with all these concessions Najib is granting Singapore?
THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Raja Petra Kamarudin
An old acquaintance of mine who was once quite senior in the Fisheries Department related this story, which he said stunned everybody in the room. The occasion was a briefing session and the man who was the target of the briefing was Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, the then Deputy Prime Minister of Malaysia.
This government officer who was conducting the briefing tried to impress Dr Mahathir on what they were doing. He went into great detail talking about their plans and strategies and how things are going to improve once these plans and strategies are in place. And he concluded by assuring Dr Mahathir that it will work because this is exactly what Singapore is doing.
Dr Mahathir gave the briefing officer a long and hard stare and said, “Please never mention Singapore in front of me again. Don’t you know we are at war with Singapore?”
From that day on, word spread like wildfire that you must never, at all costs, mention Singapore in front of Dr Mahathir, unless it is in a negative light that is. To say that Malaysia too is doing such and such because Singapore is doing the same is to invite disaster and a dead-end career in the government.
We both had a good laugh and I never thought about this incident again until 2006, something like 30 years after I was first told the story about the briefing session. And 2006 was when I started my association with Dr Mahathir soon after the dialogue session that Malaysia Today organised at the Kelab Century Paradise in Taman Melawati in Kuala Lumpur.
“Singapore is just a little red dot,” Dr Mahathir would tell all and sundry, sometimes to a crowd of 1,000 or more.
Why is Dr Mahathir so upset with Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi? Because Pak Lah tunduk (kow tow) to Singapore.
Why is Dr Mahathir so upset that his Crooked Bridge has been aborted, and at a price that is more costly than if they went ahead and built it on top of that? Because Singapore does not want it -- so, by aborting it, Malaysia is bowing to Singapore’s demands.
Why is Dr Mahathir so angry with Kalimullah (whom he calls Hindu God and Muslim Priest)? Because Kalimullah is a Singapore agent.
Why is Dr Mahathir so angry with Khairy Jamaluddin? Because Khairy works for Singapore and is being funded by that ‘little red dot’.
Anything and everything even remotely associated with Singapore is a no-no in Dr Mahathir’s books.
“Of course I can’t get along with Singapore,” laments Dr Mahathir. “I can’t go to Singapore and play golf with Singapore’s leaders and pat each other on the back like those in Pak Lah’s government.”
“Who cares if Singapore wants a new straight bridge to replace the Causeway or not. They can keep their half of the Causeway. We will demolish our half and build half a bridge. And if half a bridge is too short then we shall make it longer by building a crooked bridge.”
“Lee Kuan Yew told me that Goh Chok Tong is too sentimental. That’s why he does not want to see the Causeway demolished. So we will have to wait until Chok Tong retires and then, after he retires, we shall demolish the whole Causeway.”
“Malaysia fought hard to gain independence from Britain. We opposed the British and the British plan for a Malayan Union. However, after 50 years of Merdeka, we are still not independent. We still can’t decide what to do in our own country. Singapore tells us what we can do in our own country. So we are not really that independent after all.
”And it goes on and on -- Singapore this and Singapore that. It is all about Singapore. And all of Dr Mahathir’s unhappiness is because Singapore is the cause of everything that is wrong with this country and all his plans are being torpedoed because of Singapore.
We never thought Dr Mahathir would want Najib because of the ‘Singapore connection’. He is angry with Pak Lah, Kalimullah and Khairy because they are said to be tools or agents of Singapore. But then would this not also be so for Najib?
Tun Daim Zainuddin has personally told Dr Mahathir that Singapore possesses all the evidence that Najib, Razak Baginda and Altantuya met at the Oriental Hotel in Marina Square one year before she died. This means, with the evidence that Singapore possesses, they would be able to blackmail Najib. Surely Dr Mahathir would not want someone who can be blackmailed into doing Singapore’s bidding become the next prime minister knowing how he feels about Singapore and those perceived as under Singapore’s control?
Najib has just made a trip to Singapore and while in Singapore he announced that Malaysia agrees to build a third bridge linking Malaysia and Singapore. Third bridge? If there is going to be a third bridge then there would certainly be a second bridge. And we are no longer talking about crooked bridges as what Dr Mahathir wants. We are talking about straight bridges as what Singapore wants. And Najib also announced that the New Economic Policy would most likely be abolished as what Singapore would like to see.
Hmmm…this is interesting. Does Dr Mahathir know what Najib is doing? Surely Dr Mahathir can’t agree to Najib giving in to Singapore’s demands like what is currently happening. Are we going to see Dr Mahathir going berserk like back in 2006 with all these concessions Najib is granting Singapore?
Well, Dr Mahathir knows I support him in his move to oust Pak Lah. But I just can’t support him on the move to replace Pak Lah with Najib. My choice of successor was Tengku Razaleigh and I never hid that fact from Dr Mahathir. Probably the whole of Umno knows this as well. Anwar Ibrahim and the PKR people certainly do.
Of course, if Pakatan Rakyat forms the government, and Anwar Ibrahim becomes prime minister instead, that is also okay with me. But back in 2006 no one imagined that Pakatan Rakyat would ever be formed, let alone win five states and deny Barisan Nasional its two-thirds majority in parliament.
So the choice was either Tengku Razaleigh or Najib and I never dreamt that Dr Mahathir would choose Najib considering he is so pantang about Singapore and would never accept as prime minister someone whom Singapore can squeeze by the balls -- especially when this someone can be blackmailed about a very secret and sensitive meeting with a woman in the Oriental Hotel in Marina Square who is later found murdered.
The story was not substantiated in anyway. But as time pass, more stories will definitely surface on Mahathir's various attempts to squeeze and make thing difficult for Singapore as well as his utter disdain for anything Singapore
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parts of the article are reproduced below:
Surely Dr Mahathir can’t agree to Najib giving in to Singapore’s demands like what is currently happening. Are we going to see Dr Mahathir going berserk like back in 2006 with all these concessions Najib is granting Singapore?
THE CORRIDORS OF POWER
Raja Petra Kamarudin
An old acquaintance of mine who was once quite senior in the Fisheries Department related this story, which he said stunned everybody in the room. The occasion was a briefing session and the man who was the target of the briefing was Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, the then Deputy Prime Minister of Malaysia.
This government officer who was conducting the briefing tried to impress Dr Mahathir on what they were doing. He went into great detail talking about their plans and strategies and how things are going to improve once these plans and strategies are in place. And he concluded by assuring Dr Mahathir that it will work because this is exactly what Singapore is doing.
Dr Mahathir gave the briefing officer a long and hard stare and said, “Please never mention Singapore in front of me again. Don’t you know we are at war with Singapore?”
From that day on, word spread like wildfire that you must never, at all costs, mention Singapore in front of Dr Mahathir, unless it is in a negative light that is. To say that Malaysia too is doing such and such because Singapore is doing the same is to invite disaster and a dead-end career in the government.
We both had a good laugh and I never thought about this incident again until 2006, something like 30 years after I was first told the story about the briefing session. And 2006 was when I started my association with Dr Mahathir soon after the dialogue session that Malaysia Today organised at the Kelab Century Paradise in Taman Melawati in Kuala Lumpur.
“Singapore is just a little red dot,” Dr Mahathir would tell all and sundry, sometimes to a crowd of 1,000 or more.
Why is Dr Mahathir so upset with Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi? Because Pak Lah tunduk (kow tow) to Singapore.
Why is Dr Mahathir so upset that his Crooked Bridge has been aborted, and at a price that is more costly than if they went ahead and built it on top of that? Because Singapore does not want it -- so, by aborting it, Malaysia is bowing to Singapore’s demands.
Why is Dr Mahathir so angry with Kalimullah (whom he calls Hindu God and Muslim Priest)? Because Kalimullah is a Singapore agent.
Why is Dr Mahathir so angry with Khairy Jamaluddin? Because Khairy works for Singapore and is being funded by that ‘little red dot’.
Anything and everything even remotely associated with Singapore is a no-no in Dr Mahathir’s books.
“Of course I can’t get along with Singapore,” laments Dr Mahathir. “I can’t go to Singapore and play golf with Singapore’s leaders and pat each other on the back like those in Pak Lah’s government.”
“Who cares if Singapore wants a new straight bridge to replace the Causeway or not. They can keep their half of the Causeway. We will demolish our half and build half a bridge. And if half a bridge is too short then we shall make it longer by building a crooked bridge.”
“Lee Kuan Yew told me that Goh Chok Tong is too sentimental. That’s why he does not want to see the Causeway demolished. So we will have to wait until Chok Tong retires and then, after he retires, we shall demolish the whole Causeway.”
“Malaysia fought hard to gain independence from Britain. We opposed the British and the British plan for a Malayan Union. However, after 50 years of Merdeka, we are still not independent. We still can’t decide what to do in our own country. Singapore tells us what we can do in our own country. So we are not really that independent after all.
”And it goes on and on -- Singapore this and Singapore that. It is all about Singapore. And all of Dr Mahathir’s unhappiness is because Singapore is the cause of everything that is wrong with this country and all his plans are being torpedoed because of Singapore.
We never thought Dr Mahathir would want Najib because of the ‘Singapore connection’. He is angry with Pak Lah, Kalimullah and Khairy because they are said to be tools or agents of Singapore. But then would this not also be so for Najib?
Tun Daim Zainuddin has personally told Dr Mahathir that Singapore possesses all the evidence that Najib, Razak Baginda and Altantuya met at the Oriental Hotel in Marina Square one year before she died. This means, with the evidence that Singapore possesses, they would be able to blackmail Najib. Surely Dr Mahathir would not want someone who can be blackmailed into doing Singapore’s bidding become the next prime minister knowing how he feels about Singapore and those perceived as under Singapore’s control?
Najib has just made a trip to Singapore and while in Singapore he announced that Malaysia agrees to build a third bridge linking Malaysia and Singapore. Third bridge? If there is going to be a third bridge then there would certainly be a second bridge. And we are no longer talking about crooked bridges as what Dr Mahathir wants. We are talking about straight bridges as what Singapore wants. And Najib also announced that the New Economic Policy would most likely be abolished as what Singapore would like to see.
Hmmm…this is interesting. Does Dr Mahathir know what Najib is doing? Surely Dr Mahathir can’t agree to Najib giving in to Singapore’s demands like what is currently happening. Are we going to see Dr Mahathir going berserk like back in 2006 with all these concessions Najib is granting Singapore?
Well, Dr Mahathir knows I support him in his move to oust Pak Lah. But I just can’t support him on the move to replace Pak Lah with Najib. My choice of successor was Tengku Razaleigh and I never hid that fact from Dr Mahathir. Probably the whole of Umno knows this as well. Anwar Ibrahim and the PKR people certainly do.
Of course, if Pakatan Rakyat forms the government, and Anwar Ibrahim becomes prime minister instead, that is also okay with me. But back in 2006 no one imagined that Pakatan Rakyat would ever be formed, let alone win five states and deny Barisan Nasional its two-thirds majority in parliament.
So the choice was either Tengku Razaleigh or Najib and I never dreamt that Dr Mahathir would choose Najib considering he is so pantang about Singapore and would never accept as prime minister someone whom Singapore can squeeze by the balls -- especially when this someone can be blackmailed about a very secret and sensitive meeting with a woman in the Oriental Hotel in Marina Square who is later found murdered.
The story was not substantiated in anyway. But as time pass, more stories will definitely surface on Mahathir's various attempts to squeeze and make thing difficult for Singapore as well as his utter disdain for anything Singapore
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, May 23, 2009
PM NAJIB STATE VISIT TO S'PORE
PM Najib Razak first official state visit to Singapore yesterday is heralded by news media as well of the government of Singapore as a new beginning; similar to that when the previous PM Badawi visited Singapore 5 years ago. Then PM Badawi wanted to put the thorny issues behind and work for better cooperation and relationship. I remembered he said to ‘start plucking the low hanging fruits first’ and then work on the more difficult issues. But Badawi was too consumed with domestic politics, he hardly had any time to warm up or sour ties with Singapore.
PM Najib visit was a carefully planned and orchestrated ‘wayang’. He was very polish in his speeches, articulate in interviews and his mannerisms relay his sincerity in casting away the turbulent ties with Singapore. He bravely pronounced that he will not be building the ‘crooked bridge’. This bridge was the brainchild and pet project of his mentor Mahathir. Instead he revealed he may build a third bridge in the eastern part of Singapore. What was assuring is that he will not implement any project until it is properly studied and agreed by both countries. This was unlike his predecessor Mahathir who would take unilateral decision in the name of sovereignty and superiority. Also for the first time the Point of Agreement signed in 1990 during Mahathir reign was brought up and both countries agree to revisit all the agreements. Another question asked about Mahathir opposition to Singaporeans in Iskandar was also tactfully addressed. All these acts are courageous as these will surely infuriate Mahathir and some quarters which are anti-Singapore.
My personal view is that Najib is a consummated and wise politician who wanted good relationship with his closest neighbour as the advantages and gains far outweigh the negatives. The thousands of jobs that Singapore provided Malaysians, the tourists’ dollars spent and the investment money Singapore invested. Perhaps his think tank must have briefed him that Malaysia is no more the hinterland of Singapore in this globalised world. The mutual dependence is now more balanced then before. Although Singapore needs clean and cheap water from Johore, it is no more at Malaysia mercy. For food, the republic has diversified its resources. So Malaysia doesn’t have the upper hand and that Singapore is a ‘parasite’ to Malaysia is purely an UMNO fallacy.
He and PM Lee sense that they do not carry any historical baggage that bogged down previous PMs. They have the opportunity to rewrite history. He does acknowledge many thorny and contentious issues are unresolved and deep rooted, but with political will, it can be overcome. He must have learned during Mahathir era, nothing was achieved through strong arm tactics or brinkmanship, something which Mahathir never hesitate to employ.
I watch his joint media conference and I was impressed by his articulate response as well as his sense of humour. So the ‘wayang’ was perfect and both the PM ‘waltzed’ away to a promising new era of Singapore Malaysia partnership. The Singapore press gave front page coverage, but the Malaysia press coverage was lukewarm. This underlines the difficulties facing the two countries. Najib may want to better relationship and cooperation, but what about UMNO members, civil services, Menteris Besars and all the anti-Singaporean lobbies?
After years of Singapore bashing perpetrated by Mahathir and the UMNO rightists, it will take a long time to change this anti-Singapore sentiment. Agreeing to Singapore is deeming by Mahathir as ‘kowtow to Singapore’. The ‘crooked bridge’ was an example of such emotional paranoia. Abandoning the bridge after Singapore disagreed was a sign of ‘losing to Singapore’. So by hook or by crook, a bridge must be build. Such mentality is now deeply entrenched especially among the Malay constituency. To change this mindset will require tremendous political will and magnanimity which Malaysians are still lacking. If not handle properly, it can bring about political suicide.
My view is that Najib will play it safe. Most likely, he will stay out of Singapore Malaysia issues until he is politically anchored. Nothing will happen in the short term. The good news is that Singapore will enjoy the calm to tend to our own business. On top of this, Najib is too embroiled with domestic politics. All the infighting and internal squabble will consume him. At the same time, the world economic recession too require his full attention.
I will very surprise if Mahathir do not response to the comments Najib made in Singapore. His response will clearly reflect whether the old man still has the political muscle to trouble Najib like what he did to Badawi. But keeping silent is the hardest part for Mahathir.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM Najib visit was a carefully planned and orchestrated ‘wayang’. He was very polish in his speeches, articulate in interviews and his mannerisms relay his sincerity in casting away the turbulent ties with Singapore. He bravely pronounced that he will not be building the ‘crooked bridge’. This bridge was the brainchild and pet project of his mentor Mahathir. Instead he revealed he may build a third bridge in the eastern part of Singapore. What was assuring is that he will not implement any project until it is properly studied and agreed by both countries. This was unlike his predecessor Mahathir who would take unilateral decision in the name of sovereignty and superiority. Also for the first time the Point of Agreement signed in 1990 during Mahathir reign was brought up and both countries agree to revisit all the agreements. Another question asked about Mahathir opposition to Singaporeans in Iskandar was also tactfully addressed. All these acts are courageous as these will surely infuriate Mahathir and some quarters which are anti-Singapore.
My personal view is that Najib is a consummated and wise politician who wanted good relationship with his closest neighbour as the advantages and gains far outweigh the negatives. The thousands of jobs that Singapore provided Malaysians, the tourists’ dollars spent and the investment money Singapore invested. Perhaps his think tank must have briefed him that Malaysia is no more the hinterland of Singapore in this globalised world. The mutual dependence is now more balanced then before. Although Singapore needs clean and cheap water from Johore, it is no more at Malaysia mercy. For food, the republic has diversified its resources. So Malaysia doesn’t have the upper hand and that Singapore is a ‘parasite’ to Malaysia is purely an UMNO fallacy.
He and PM Lee sense that they do not carry any historical baggage that bogged down previous PMs. They have the opportunity to rewrite history. He does acknowledge many thorny and contentious issues are unresolved and deep rooted, but with political will, it can be overcome. He must have learned during Mahathir era, nothing was achieved through strong arm tactics or brinkmanship, something which Mahathir never hesitate to employ.
I watch his joint media conference and I was impressed by his articulate response as well as his sense of humour. So the ‘wayang’ was perfect and both the PM ‘waltzed’ away to a promising new era of Singapore Malaysia partnership. The Singapore press gave front page coverage, but the Malaysia press coverage was lukewarm. This underlines the difficulties facing the two countries. Najib may want to better relationship and cooperation, but what about UMNO members, civil services, Menteris Besars and all the anti-Singaporean lobbies?
After years of Singapore bashing perpetrated by Mahathir and the UMNO rightists, it will take a long time to change this anti-Singapore sentiment. Agreeing to Singapore is deeming by Mahathir as ‘kowtow to Singapore’. The ‘crooked bridge’ was an example of such emotional paranoia. Abandoning the bridge after Singapore disagreed was a sign of ‘losing to Singapore’. So by hook or by crook, a bridge must be build. Such mentality is now deeply entrenched especially among the Malay constituency. To change this mindset will require tremendous political will and magnanimity which Malaysians are still lacking. If not handle properly, it can bring about political suicide.
My view is that Najib will play it safe. Most likely, he will stay out of Singapore Malaysia issues until he is politically anchored. Nothing will happen in the short term. The good news is that Singapore will enjoy the calm to tend to our own business. On top of this, Najib is too embroiled with domestic politics. All the infighting and internal squabble will consume him. At the same time, the world economic recession too require his full attention.
I will very surprise if Mahathir do not response to the comments Najib made in Singapore. His response will clearly reflect whether the old man still has the political muscle to trouble Najib like what he did to Badawi. But keeping silent is the hardest part for Mahathir.
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Saturday, May 9, 2009
MAS SELAMAT CAPTURED
It has been some time since the famous escape of Mas Selamat Kastari (MSK). I was terribly disturbed how he could have escape from the high security prison of Whitley Detention Centre. The mode of escape was bizarre and unbelievable. That has spun theories of conspiracy that had resonated for months. And overnight he becomes the poster boy throughout Singapore. Of course not to forget the jokes that made the rounds through the internet. I remember a joke of MSK is in Malaysia. This is because when you crossed the Causeway, you will see big billboard “Selamat Datang” meaning MSK is coming. Well it is not a joke now. It’s a fact.
Just as the escape has spun conspiracy theories, his capture too will invoke a lot of questions which we the ordinary souls will never get to know. Within hour of his escape, the entire country was locked down. The entire security apparatus of army, police and all the auxillary forces were activated to track him down. Now they said he swam across the Johore Straits with improvised floats. Questions to ask...............
Who help him after his escape? How could be disappeared so fast from the scene?
Who brought him to the causeway?
Who did he stay with before he swam across the causeway?
Who received him at the other end of the causeway?
Did he really swam across the causeway or was his concoction to prevent his mates getting implicated?
WKS and his officers may be vindicated for the sloppiness and the public can be relieved that this terrorist is captured, but terrorism is far from eradicated. What’s worrying is the network of supporters that MSK can garnered and stay undetected for more than a year. The questions one beg to ask is how big this network of underground supporters and sleepers is. It has to worry the authorities.
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Just as the escape has spun conspiracy theories, his capture too will invoke a lot of questions which we the ordinary souls will never get to know. Within hour of his escape, the entire country was locked down. The entire security apparatus of army, police and all the auxillary forces were activated to track him down. Now they said he swam across the Johore Straits with improvised floats. Questions to ask...............
Who help him after his escape? How could be disappeared so fast from the scene?
Who brought him to the causeway?
Who did he stay with before he swam across the causeway?
Who received him at the other end of the causeway?
Did he really swam across the causeway or was his concoction to prevent his mates getting implicated?
WKS and his officers may be vindicated for the sloppiness and the public can be relieved that this terrorist is captured, but terrorism is far from eradicated. What’s worrying is the network of supporters that MSK can garnered and stay undetected for more than a year. The questions one beg to ask is how big this network of underground supporters and sleepers is. It has to worry the authorities.
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Saturday, May 2, 2009
NO CONFIDENCE FOR JOSIE LAU
Josie Lau and her fellow sisters should perhaps been humbled by the event in the last few weeks. It’s time for her to move on and the public should reflect on the chain of events and how such unpleasant saga could have drag in the religious fraternity as well as the government. It should be an eye opener for all who aspire to aim for higher office or who had the divine calling to serve the community.
Winning election does not necessary earn respect. Election is about numbers. Rallying short term support to gain office does not guarantee and sustain long term survival. This has happen in many temples, clans club and associations committees before.
When she took over the as president, she didn’t have any comprehensive plan to remake AWARE at all. As a very senior executive in a bank, and surprisingly, she had no good plan to handle the public and the medias. Instead, she depends on a few issues to justify her actions. It’s not convincing at all. Then when news filtered out that she and her group had come under a feminist mentor, further public cynicism was created. Was she a pawn or a leader? That was here first mistake.
Holding a press conference to justify her position was a big gamble. The media cut both way and she miscalculated. The media needs to be balance and satisfy the public expectation. Because she and her group have affiliation with the church, it was impossible for the media to support her in a multi-religious country. Instead, the press took it as a fodder for sensational news. Subtlety, the press put up pieces of news daily, and when all the news are pieced together, it looks like a conspiracy engineered by her church’s pastor and some members. That was her second mistake, allowing or believing that the press can speak the truth for her.
Her third mistake is to attack the school sexual awareness program as 'promoting lesbianism and homosexuality'. This has polarised the pro family and pro choice lobbies. Her argument is rather out of context and seems dramatising on a small portion of the program that may be contrary to her personal faith. This unwittingly, alienates the schools and the education ministry and compels them to respond. Arguing such issues in public also antagonises certain quarters of the country.
Her fourth mistake is a total miscalculation of the current ground sentiment and under estimating the public support that the old guards still command. She strokes the fire on the sexuality issues but the fires burnt out of control and spills into sensitive arena of religion. Even ministers had to weigh it to calm matters. The president of NCCS had to step out to warn that “pulpit should not have been used in this AWARE saga”. This was followed yesterday by the church pastor to publicly apologise for misusing the pulpit to give backing to Josie and her group and encouraged female churchgoers to support Josie Lau and “her sisters”. Ironically, that was to be Josie’s ‘waterloo’. The battle has been effectively lost. What surprises me was her stubbornness and tenacity to fight on.
As the heat turned on during the initial days, a number of unnecessary events like firing staff, changing locks, shouting matches and many petty stuff that breed more dissent and disquiet. These further erode her integrity and lost the respect of those that may have given her the benefit of the doubt. With the press not so friendly, she further lost credibility.
Josie and her exco members have now decided to step down after this marathon EGM and wishes all the best for AWARE. To me it was a saga that had been dramatised by the media. But Josie and her group was equally at fault for dragging this into public arena. It could have been avoided if only they allow common sense to prevail. As I have said in my previous blog on April 25, the honourable thing to do is to resign. Now she has to be booted out by a non-confidence vote.
Nevertheless, this saga will blow over as fast as it comes. This is because there is more urgent news on Swine Fever and the economic recession that is gripping Singapore and the rest of the world.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Winning election does not necessary earn respect. Election is about numbers. Rallying short term support to gain office does not guarantee and sustain long term survival. This has happen in many temples, clans club and associations committees before.
When she took over the as president, she didn’t have any comprehensive plan to remake AWARE at all. As a very senior executive in a bank, and surprisingly, she had no good plan to handle the public and the medias. Instead, she depends on a few issues to justify her actions. It’s not convincing at all. Then when news filtered out that she and her group had come under a feminist mentor, further public cynicism was created. Was she a pawn or a leader? That was here first mistake.
Holding a press conference to justify her position was a big gamble. The media cut both way and she miscalculated. The media needs to be balance and satisfy the public expectation. Because she and her group have affiliation with the church, it was impossible for the media to support her in a multi-religious country. Instead, the press took it as a fodder for sensational news. Subtlety, the press put up pieces of news daily, and when all the news are pieced together, it looks like a conspiracy engineered by her church’s pastor and some members. That was her second mistake, allowing or believing that the press can speak the truth for her.
Her third mistake is to attack the school sexual awareness program as 'promoting lesbianism and homosexuality'. This has polarised the pro family and pro choice lobbies. Her argument is rather out of context and seems dramatising on a small portion of the program that may be contrary to her personal faith. This unwittingly, alienates the schools and the education ministry and compels them to respond. Arguing such issues in public also antagonises certain quarters of the country.
Her fourth mistake is a total miscalculation of the current ground sentiment and under estimating the public support that the old guards still command. She strokes the fire on the sexuality issues but the fires burnt out of control and spills into sensitive arena of religion. Even ministers had to weigh it to calm matters. The president of NCCS had to step out to warn that “pulpit should not have been used in this AWARE saga”. This was followed yesterday by the church pastor to publicly apologise for misusing the pulpit to give backing to Josie and her group and encouraged female churchgoers to support Josie Lau and “her sisters”. Ironically, that was to be Josie’s ‘waterloo’. The battle has been effectively lost. What surprises me was her stubbornness and tenacity to fight on.
As the heat turned on during the initial days, a number of unnecessary events like firing staff, changing locks, shouting matches and many petty stuff that breed more dissent and disquiet. These further erode her integrity and lost the respect of those that may have given her the benefit of the doubt. With the press not so friendly, she further lost credibility.
Josie and her exco members have now decided to step down after this marathon EGM and wishes all the best for AWARE. To me it was a saga that had been dramatised by the media. But Josie and her group was equally at fault for dragging this into public arena. It could have been avoided if only they allow common sense to prevail. As I have said in my previous blog on April 25, the honourable thing to do is to resign. Now she has to be booted out by a non-confidence vote.
Nevertheless, this saga will blow over as fast as it comes. This is because there is more urgent news on Swine Fever and the economic recession that is gripping Singapore and the rest of the world.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, May 1, 2009
AWARE must BEWARE
The new leadership has generated so much controversy and left many Singaporeans bewildered. I wonder if Josie Lau and her group have anticipated this. Such a baptism of fire probably had not crossed their mind when they planned and mounted this successful ‘coup’. As more news permeated through the media, many Singaporean are still groping for the ‘truth’.
As I see it, if the reason for the takeover is motivated by homosexuality and lesbianism issues, then the effort by this group of well meaning and good intention Christians from the same church have deployed the firepower far disproportionate with its objective. Apart from this sexual issue, no manifestos or visions have yet to surface. The only press conference held too was only about this issue and the intention to put AWARE on the morally right course. To me, an ordinary resolution from members for an EGM to address this issue would have suffice and meet this objective. Why take the effort to mount a takeover even with objection from DBS, employer of Josie Lau.
So, the sincerity of Josie and her group will always be questioned. Although they are elected through legitimate means, but why are 6 members of ecxo from the same church and some has just join recently? Why do they have the same feminist mentor? Was there a manifesto when they stood for election? Why did they hold a press conference without informing the other exco members? Has this exco become inclusive and secretive? All these actions will surely invite the public to be cynical and suspicious of its motive. It will surely breed negative public perception. I like to reiterate that I have nothing against Christians or any religious groups that are out to serve the society for a good purpose. It must exercise wisdom, act with sensitivity and not to bring controversy to its own belief and faith.
Even the Pastor from the Church where 6 members of the Exco hailed from has distanced himself from this leadership saga and categorically stated that he is not involved. Today, head of the NCCS, umbrella Christian body has come out to emphasise that churches should stay out of AWARE internal disputes. Reading in between the lines, I believe the Churches are concerned over religion being dragged into a secular social organisation like AWARE. It does the Church no favour and I see this wise move by the church to contain the damage and fallout. A government minister also said that ‘religion should have no place in petty politics’. Simply it is a dispute that has really gone overboard.
The EGM will be held tomorrow and it is expected to be very heated with plenty of fireworks. Both sides have canvassed for new members and the turnout is expected to be overwhelming. The no-confidence motion against the new team will be tabled by the old guards. I do not expect to see any dispute over the voting process. They sad news is at the end of the voting, one team will have to bow out. And I hope the winner will be magnanimous and the loser gracious. In my opinion, whatever happens, AWARE has been wrecked! It will be more severe if the new team survives this no-confidence motion. Let me predict the probable chain of events.
In order for Josie Lau and company to win, it needs the support of the newly registered members. The press has reported that there is a large surge of memberships lately, a sign of aggressive campaigning and canvassing. As far as the general memberships are concerned, the disputed sexuality issues exposed by the new exco are not contentious and urgent enough to persuade ordinary members to take sides. It can be safely speculated that the bulk of these supporters will be drawn from Christian groups. So if Josie’s camp comes out victorious, they will be mass resignations from the opposing camp. AWARE will inadvertently be saddles with a Christian majority in a secular organisation. That will herald a new era for AWARE.
When this happens, new ideas and visions will be brought into AWARE. Nobody can speculate the future effectiveness or relevance of AWARE. It may end up a stronger and better organisation that can do more for society. Or in the worst case, it may push AWARE into oblivion. Another negative impact is that it will be view as a Christian organisation like YWCA or Salvation Army or ‘homes’ or ‘half way houses’ run by the churches. In a multi-racial country like Singapore, AWARE may lose the broad base support it once had and its ability to serve across the spectrum of religious groups. Surely no religious organisation would like to be seen to ‘colonise’ an established organisation. Definitely this is contrary to any teaching on humanity.
There is a very strong possibility that the old camp may start a similar group with the older members. It had the experiences and the administrative skill and infrastructures to do so. With it 25 years of experience, it can fall back on many sponsors to back them financially. Maybe when that do happens, it may be the silver lining. It will arouse greater awareness of women issues and the biggest winners may be the underprivileged and abused women.
Let see what happen after tomorrow.
-----------------------------------------Living to see the World---------------------------------------
As I see it, if the reason for the takeover is motivated by homosexuality and lesbianism issues, then the effort by this group of well meaning and good intention Christians from the same church have deployed the firepower far disproportionate with its objective. Apart from this sexual issue, no manifestos or visions have yet to surface. The only press conference held too was only about this issue and the intention to put AWARE on the morally right course. To me, an ordinary resolution from members for an EGM to address this issue would have suffice and meet this objective. Why take the effort to mount a takeover even with objection from DBS, employer of Josie Lau.
So, the sincerity of Josie and her group will always be questioned. Although they are elected through legitimate means, but why are 6 members of ecxo from the same church and some has just join recently? Why do they have the same feminist mentor? Was there a manifesto when they stood for election? Why did they hold a press conference without informing the other exco members? Has this exco become inclusive and secretive? All these actions will surely invite the public to be cynical and suspicious of its motive. It will surely breed negative public perception. I like to reiterate that I have nothing against Christians or any religious groups that are out to serve the society for a good purpose. It must exercise wisdom, act with sensitivity and not to bring controversy to its own belief and faith.
Even the Pastor from the Church where 6 members of the Exco hailed from has distanced himself from this leadership saga and categorically stated that he is not involved. Today, head of the NCCS, umbrella Christian body has come out to emphasise that churches should stay out of AWARE internal disputes. Reading in between the lines, I believe the Churches are concerned over religion being dragged into a secular social organisation like AWARE. It does the Church no favour and I see this wise move by the church to contain the damage and fallout. A government minister also said that ‘religion should have no place in petty politics’. Simply it is a dispute that has really gone overboard.
The EGM will be held tomorrow and it is expected to be very heated with plenty of fireworks. Both sides have canvassed for new members and the turnout is expected to be overwhelming. The no-confidence motion against the new team will be tabled by the old guards. I do not expect to see any dispute over the voting process. They sad news is at the end of the voting, one team will have to bow out. And I hope the winner will be magnanimous and the loser gracious. In my opinion, whatever happens, AWARE has been wrecked! It will be more severe if the new team survives this no-confidence motion. Let me predict the probable chain of events.
In order for Josie Lau and company to win, it needs the support of the newly registered members. The press has reported that there is a large surge of memberships lately, a sign of aggressive campaigning and canvassing. As far as the general memberships are concerned, the disputed sexuality issues exposed by the new exco are not contentious and urgent enough to persuade ordinary members to take sides. It can be safely speculated that the bulk of these supporters will be drawn from Christian groups. So if Josie’s camp comes out victorious, they will be mass resignations from the opposing camp. AWARE will inadvertently be saddles with a Christian majority in a secular organisation. That will herald a new era for AWARE.
When this happens, new ideas and visions will be brought into AWARE. Nobody can speculate the future effectiveness or relevance of AWARE. It may end up a stronger and better organisation that can do more for society. Or in the worst case, it may push AWARE into oblivion. Another negative impact is that it will be view as a Christian organisation like YWCA or Salvation Army or ‘homes’ or ‘half way houses’ run by the churches. In a multi-racial country like Singapore, AWARE may lose the broad base support it once had and its ability to serve across the spectrum of religious groups. Surely no religious organisation would like to be seen to ‘colonise’ an established organisation. Definitely this is contrary to any teaching on humanity.
There is a very strong possibility that the old camp may start a similar group with the older members. It had the experiences and the administrative skill and infrastructures to do so. With it 25 years of experience, it can fall back on many sponsors to back them financially. Maybe when that do happens, it may be the silver lining. It will arouse greater awareness of women issues and the biggest winners may be the underprivileged and abused women.
Let see what happen after tomorrow.
-----------------------------------------Living to see the World---------------------------------------
Saturday, April 25, 2009
WHEN WOMEN FIGHT, AWARE
This is the first time a woman NGO has taken the fight to public. As the beans spilled, it becomes more intrigue. The ruse has even got the attention of ministers to attempt to diffuse the potentially explosive nature of this dispute. The social issues in question may boil over and may inadvertently get entangled with religion. As the newspapers were inundated with differing views from both sides during press conferences, it seems that both sides a heading for ugly ending.
At the centre of the dispute is a new group of members, who joined recently, passionately believe that AWARE is going in the wrong direction. The intent is to right the wrong, to steer away from principles that they righteously believe must be discarded. Technically, no one can fault the election process. The new group of ex-co members were legally elected through legitimate democratic process. Most of the old ex-co members were ousted.
In my views, such manoeuvres are common in temples, en-bloc sales, Chinese clans, associations, country clubs and workers' unions committees. But why has this saga generated so much controversy and attention?
Perhaps, it’s a women organisation and it is the first dispute that has gone public. Many past presidents and office bearers are high profile personalities and professional women. Both camps have also try to use the media to its advantages without realising that the media cut both ways.
More obvious reason to me is the way in which the new committee, comprising of a group of likeminded women with same religious affiliation under the same mentor, has position themselves to oust the incumbents. Such action has induced a negative public perception. It seems like a cloak and dagger operation, covertly and stealthily crept in from nowhere. Surely this will invited a lot of cynicism and suspicion. Although most people don’t doubt the good intent of this group, after all, it is voluntary and thankless work. The speed at which it starts to rock the boat has cause disquiet among the old guards. I can see the methods employed. Its typical corporate manoeuvres like ‘hire and fire’, ‘restructure the organisation’ and ‘remake the image of the organisation’. It looks like a military mopping up operation, clearing all the landmines and bobby traps. All the actions taken so far are similar in style with corporate management techniques. Unfortunately, such management style may be ill suited for a social organisation like AWARE. It has definitely breeds dissent.
The new group has grossly miscalculated. It has forgotten to factor in that this is a non profit organisation. It’s about managing people and its expectations, managing social issues and most important of all, managing public perception and it is not managing profits like a corporation. I would say it’s is naivety and outright arrogance on them that cause this to boil. However strong their personal beliefs or faith are, they must remember that we are living in a multiracial and multi-religious country. And because they have the same religious affiliation and are women holding senior positions in working life, they must show greater wisdom and sensitivity. Coming under the same mentorship, they have placed themselves in an awkward position to dispel the suspicion that they are working for a particular faith. It allows opportunists to criticise them for the lack of religious sensitivity. What’s more, in the public eyes, they lack graciousness and magnanimity to pay tribute and compliment to the past office bearers who had volunteered their times to serve the community. In another word, they have a brilliant plan to win but don’t have a comprehensive plan to manage the winning.
As the dispute boils over, the group could not contain their eagerness to make its points in public. But they have forgotten that the old guards have contributed 25 years of work, be it good or bad is subjective. The new guard has no achievement to put on table except their wish to clean the organisation of unhealthy acts. Under the circumstances, this is tantamount to washing dirty linen in public. This has definitely backfire on them as it is unable to convince the public the nobleness of its vision for AWARE. The failure to win public acceptance to me has put them in an untenable position.
The honourable thing for the newly elected exco is to resign and allows a cooling off period and let AWARE members decide how to move ahead. And if they feel strongly about the issues, there are many forums for them to advance the issues that are close to their belief and faith.
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At the centre of the dispute is a new group of members, who joined recently, passionately believe that AWARE is going in the wrong direction. The intent is to right the wrong, to steer away from principles that they righteously believe must be discarded. Technically, no one can fault the election process. The new group of ex-co members were legally elected through legitimate democratic process. Most of the old ex-co members were ousted.
In my views, such manoeuvres are common in temples, en-bloc sales, Chinese clans, associations, country clubs and workers' unions committees. But why has this saga generated so much controversy and attention?
Perhaps, it’s a women organisation and it is the first dispute that has gone public. Many past presidents and office bearers are high profile personalities and professional women. Both camps have also try to use the media to its advantages without realising that the media cut both ways.
More obvious reason to me is the way in which the new committee, comprising of a group of likeminded women with same religious affiliation under the same mentor, has position themselves to oust the incumbents. Such action has induced a negative public perception. It seems like a cloak and dagger operation, covertly and stealthily crept in from nowhere. Surely this will invited a lot of cynicism and suspicion. Although most people don’t doubt the good intent of this group, after all, it is voluntary and thankless work. The speed at which it starts to rock the boat has cause disquiet among the old guards. I can see the methods employed. Its typical corporate manoeuvres like ‘hire and fire’, ‘restructure the organisation’ and ‘remake the image of the organisation’. It looks like a military mopping up operation, clearing all the landmines and bobby traps. All the actions taken so far are similar in style with corporate management techniques. Unfortunately, such management style may be ill suited for a social organisation like AWARE. It has definitely breeds dissent.
The new group has grossly miscalculated. It has forgotten to factor in that this is a non profit organisation. It’s about managing people and its expectations, managing social issues and most important of all, managing public perception and it is not managing profits like a corporation. I would say it’s is naivety and outright arrogance on them that cause this to boil. However strong their personal beliefs or faith are, they must remember that we are living in a multiracial and multi-religious country. And because they have the same religious affiliation and are women holding senior positions in working life, they must show greater wisdom and sensitivity. Coming under the same mentorship, they have placed themselves in an awkward position to dispel the suspicion that they are working for a particular faith. It allows opportunists to criticise them for the lack of religious sensitivity. What’s more, in the public eyes, they lack graciousness and magnanimity to pay tribute and compliment to the past office bearers who had volunteered their times to serve the community. In another word, they have a brilliant plan to win but don’t have a comprehensive plan to manage the winning.
As the dispute boils over, the group could not contain their eagerness to make its points in public. But they have forgotten that the old guards have contributed 25 years of work, be it good or bad is subjective. The new guard has no achievement to put on table except their wish to clean the organisation of unhealthy acts. Under the circumstances, this is tantamount to washing dirty linen in public. This has definitely backfire on them as it is unable to convince the public the nobleness of its vision for AWARE. The failure to win public acceptance to me has put them in an untenable position.
The honourable thing for the newly elected exco is to resign and allows a cooling off period and let AWARE members decide how to move ahead. And if they feel strongly about the issues, there are many forums for them to advance the issues that are close to their belief and faith.
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